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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-10-16 19:44:24| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 161744 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Tue Oct 16 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Tara, located near the coast of southwestern Mexico. A tropical wave located over western Nicaragua, southwestern Honduras, and eastern El Salvador will move westward into the eastern Pacific Ocean later this evening. The combination of the wave and a strong northerly wind event over the Gulf of Tehuantepec is expected to develop a low pressure system a couple of hundred miles south of Guatemala and southeastern Mexico by late Wednesday. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression is likely to form by late Thursday or early Friday while the system moves west-northwestward near or just offshore the coast of southern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A weak area of low pressure located about 900 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing disorganized shower activity. Some slow development of this system is possible while it drifts northward or north-northeastward during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-10-16 19:22:56| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 161722 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Tue Oct 16 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A low pressure system that the National Hurricane Center has been tracking the past few days has now moved inland over southern Belize and eastern Guatemala. Due to land interaction, tropical cyclone formation associated with this system is no longer expected in the Atlantic basin. The southern portion of this disturbance is forecast to move into the eastern North Pacific by this evening. Gusty winds will still be possible over portions of Belize and the eastern Yucatan Peninsula this afternoon and early evening. In addition, locally heavy rainfall, which could cause flash flooding, is possible across portions of Central America during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-10-16 13:18:24| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 161118 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Tue Oct 16 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A well-defined low pressure system located near the northwestern coast of Honduras continues to produce a large area of cloudiness and thunderstorms over portions of the far western Caribbean Sea and much of Central America. Although this system could still become a tropical depression before it moves inland over southern Belize by early afternoon, any further development is unlikely due to land interaction. Once the low moves inland, rapid weakening is expected. Regardless of development, strong gusty winds are possible over portions of Belize and the eastern Yucatan Peninsula today before diminishing by this evening. In addition, locally heavy rainfall, which could cause flash flooding, is possible across portions of Central America during the next few days. The Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft mission that was scheduled for this afternoon has been canceled due the disturbance's proximity to land. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-10-16 13:01:52| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 161101 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Tue Oct 16 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Tara, located near the coast of southwestern Mexico. A tropical wave located over western Nicaragua and southern Honduras is expected to move westward into the eastern Pacific Ocean by this evening, and develop into a low pressure system a couple of hundred miles south of Guatemala and southeastern Mexico by late Wednesday. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression is likely to form by the end of the week while the system moves west-northwestward near or just offshore the coast of southern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A weak area of low pressure located about 850 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing disorganized shower activity. Some slow development of this system is possible while it drifts northward or north-northeastward during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-10-16 07:19:48| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 160519 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Tue Oct 16 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A low pressure system located along the north-central coast of Honduras continues to produce a large area of cloudiness and thunderstorms over portions of the far western Caribbean Sea and much of Central America. Although the associated shower and thunderstorm activity has changed little in organization overnight, the system could still become a tropical depression before it moves inland over Belize later today. Regardless of development, gusty winds are possible over portions of Belize and the Yucatan Peninsula today. In addition, locally heavy rainfall, which could cause flash flooding, is possible across portions of Central America during the next few days. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate this system this afternoon, if necessary. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
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