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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-10-18 01:05:43| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 172305 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Wed Oct 17 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Visible satellite imagery indicates that an area of low pressure located just south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec is slowly becoming better defined, however, the associated shower and thunderstorm activity is still disorganized. Environmental conditions appear to be conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is likely to form during the next day or two. The system is forecast to move generally toward the west-northwest at 10 to 15 mph for the next several days, near or just offshore the coast of southern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. An elongated area of low pressure located about 900 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing disorganized showers. Development, if any, should should be slow to occur during the next few days while the system remains nearly stationary. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-10-17 19:27:11| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 171727 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Wed Oct 17 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Satellite-derived winds and surface observations indicate that an elongated low pressure system is located about 100 miles south of the Mexico-Guatemala border. Although associated showers and thunderstorms remain disorganized, environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression or a tropical storm is likely to form during the next day or two. The system is forecast to move generally toward the west-northwest at 10 to 15 mph for the next several days, near or just offshore the coast of southern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A weak and nearly stationary area of low pressure located about 900 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce disorganized shower activity. Any development should be slow to occur while the system drifts northward or north-northeastward during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 
 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-10-17 19:11:03| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 171710 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Wed Oct 17 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days. $$ Forecaster Stewart

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-10-17 14:32:36| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 171232 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Wed Oct 17 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Satellite-derived winds and surface observations indicate that an elongated low pressure system has developed about 100 miles south of Guatemala. Although associated shower and thunderstorm activity is currently disorganized, environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression or a tropical storm is likely to form during the next day or two. The system is forecast to moves generally toward the west-northwest at 10 to 15 mph, near or just offshore the coast of southern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A weak and nearly stationary area of low pressure located about 900 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce disorganized shower activity. Some slow development of this system is possible while it drifts northward or north-northeastward during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-10-17 13:41:07| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 171140 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Wed Oct 17 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Satellite-derived winds and surface observations indicate that an elongated low pressure system has developed about 100 miles south of Guatemala. Although associated shower and thunderstorm activity is currently disorganized, environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for additional development, and a tropical depression or a tropical storm is likely to form during the next day or two. The system is forecast to moves generally toward the west-northwest at 10 to 15 mph, near or just offshore the coast of southern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A weak and nearly stationary area of low pressure located about 900 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce disorganized shower activity. Some slow development of this system is possible while it drifts northward or north-northeastward during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

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