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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-09-07 07:12:23| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

072 ABNT20 KNHC 070512 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Fri Sep 7 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Florence, located over the central Atlantic Ocean. The Weather Prediction Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Gordon, located over Arkansas. Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with an area of low pressure centered about 500 miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands has become a little more concentrated over the past couple of hours, but recent satellite data show that this system is still fairly broad and elongated. Environmental conditions appear conducive for development, and a tropical depression is expected to form within the next day or so while the system moves slowly westward across the tropical Atlantic Ocean. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Showers and thunderstorms have increased in association with a tropical wave and accompanying low pressure system near the west coast of Africa. Environmental conditions appear conducive for development, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is likely to form later today or over the weekend while the wave moves westward or west-northwestward over the far eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean. Interests in the Cabo Verde Islands should monitor the progress of this system, and advisories on a potential tropical cyclone or tropical depression could be issued later today. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-09-07 01:42:51| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

958 ABNT20 KNHC 062342 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Thu Sep 6 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Florence, located over the central Atlantic Ocean. The Weather Prediction Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Gordon, located over Arkansas. An area of low pressure centered about 500 miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands is gradually becoming better defined, although the associated shower and thunderstorm activity has not yet increased much in organization. Environmental conditions are conducive for further development, and a tropical depression is expected to form within the next day or two while the system moves slowly westward across the tropical Atlantic Ocean. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A tropical wave and an accompanying low pressure system near the west coast of Africa is producing a large area of thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear conducive for development, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is likely to form over the weekend while the wave moves westward or west-northwestward over the far eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean. Interests in the Cabo Verde Islands should monitor the progress of this system, and potential tropical cyclone advisories could be issued on Friday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 
 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-09-07 01:22:21| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

977 ABPZ20 KNHC 062322 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Thu Sep 6 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Olivia, located a little more than 1200 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. The broad area of low pressure that NHC has been tracking for a few days is now located several hundred miles south of the southern tip of Baja California peninsula. Although the shower activity has not become any better organized during the past few hours, environmental conditions appear to be conducive for development. A tropical depression is likely to form by this weekend or early next week while the system moves slowly toward the west-northwest at about 10 mph away from the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. $$ Forecaster Avila

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-09-06 23:14:19| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

479 ABNT20 KNHC 062114 TWOAT Special Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 515 PM EDT Thu Sep 6 2018 Special outlook issued to update probabilities for the far eastern Atlantic system. For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Florence, located over the central subtropical Atlantic Ocean. The Weather Prediction Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Gordon, located over Arkansas. The circulation associated with an area of low pressure centered several hundred miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands remains broad and elongated, and the associated shower and thunderstorm activity has not yet increased in organization. However, environmental conditions are conducive for development, and a tropical depression is expected to form within the next day or two while the system moves slowly westward or west-northwestward across the tropical Atlantic Ocean. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Updated: A tropical wave with an accompanying low pressure area is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa on Friday. This system is already showing signs of organization, and a tropical depression is likely to form over the weekend or early next week while the wave moves westward or west-northwestward over the far eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean. Interests in the Cabo Verde Islands should monitor the progress of this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-09-06 19:46:17| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

281 ABNT20 KNHC 061746 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Thu Sep 6 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Florence, located over the central subtropical Atlantic Ocean. The Weather Prediction Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Gordon, located over Arkansas. The circulation associated with an area of low pressure centered several hundred miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands remains broad and elongated, and the associated shower and thunderstorm activity has not yet increased in organization. However, environmental conditions are conducive for development, and a tropical depression is expected to form within the next day or two while the system moves slowly westward or west-northwestward across the tropical Atlantic Ocean. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A tropical wave is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa on Friday. Development of this system is anticipated after that time, and a tropical depression could form over the weekend or early next week while the wave moves westward or west-northwestward over the far eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean. Interests in the Cabo Verde Islands should monitor the progress of this system during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

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