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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-07-25 01:14:11| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 242314 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Sat Jul 24 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A broad area of low pressure located about 1600 miles west- southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to show signs of organization. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for further development, and this system could become a tropical depression later this weekend or early next week before reaching cooler waters while moving westward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. An area of low pressure could form a few hundred miles south or southeast of the Gulf of Tehuantepec in a few days. Some gradual development is possible thereafter through the middle of next week while the system moves generally parallel to, but offshore of, the coast of southern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-07-24 19:55:05| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 241754 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Sat Jul 24 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A broad area of low pressure located more than 1400 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing a concentrated area of showers and thunderstorms. This activity has become a bit better organized, but the system currently lacks a well-defined low-level circulation. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for further development, and this system could become a tropical depression later this weekend or early next week before reaching cooler waters while moving westward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Papin/Beven

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 
 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-07-24 19:44:05| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 241743 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Sat Jul 24 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Showers and thunderstorm activity remain disorganized in association with the low pressure system located about 200 miles east of Daytona Beach, Florida. Environmental conditions appear only marginally conducive for additional development, but a tropical depression could still form over the next day or so while the low drifts westward towards the Florida Peninsula. Interests in Florida should continue to monitor the progress of this system. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is en route to investigate the system further. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Papin/Beven

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-07-24 13:52:03| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 241151 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Sat Jul 24 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A broad area of low pressure located about 1400 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are generally conducive for development, and this system could become a tropical depression this weekend or early next week before it reaches cooler waters while moving westward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Papin/Beven

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-07-24 13:50:32| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 241150 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Sat Jul 24 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Showers and thunderstorm activity has increased a bit this morning in association with the low pressure system located about 200 miles east of Daytona Beach, Florida. Nearby buoy observations also indicate that surface pressures have been falling close to the center of this system. However, the associated shower and thunderstorm activity remains disorganized and located primarily south and east of the center. Environmental conditions are forecasted to become a bit more favorable for development, and a tropical depression could form over the next day or so while the low meanders offshore of the Florida Peninsula. Interests in Florida should continue to monitor the progress of this system. An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system later today, if necessary. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Papin/Beven

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

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