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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-06-16 01:21:29| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 152321 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Tue Jun 15 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Carlos, located over 1800 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located a few hundred miles south of the coast of southern Mexico are associated with a broad trough of low pressure. A low-pressure system is expected to develop along this trough within the next couple of days as a tropical wave moves westward across the area. Environmental conditions should be favorable for gradual development of this system later this week, and a tropical depression could form by this weekend while it moves slowly northwestward, roughly parallel to the southwestern coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Reinhart/Beven

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-06-15 19:37:53| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 151737 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Tue Jun 15 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Carlos, located over 1700 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms located a few hundred miles south of southern Mexico and Guatemala are associated with a westward-moving tropical wave and a broad area of low pressure. An area of low pressure is expected to form along this wave later this week. Environmental conditions are expected to be favorable for gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression could form by this weekend while it moves slowly northwestward, roughly parallel to the southwestern coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Latto

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 
 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-06-15 19:17:35| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 151717 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL Issued by the NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD 200 PM EDT Tue Jun 15 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Bill, located a few hundred miles south-southeast of Halifax, Canada. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue over the Bay of Campeche and southern Mexico in association with a broad low pressure area. This system is expected to move little during the next day or two, and any development should be slow to occur during that time period due to its close proximity to land. However, the disturbance should begin to move northward by Thursday, and a tropical depression is likely to form late in the week when the low moves across the central and northwestern Gulf of Mexico. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall will continue over portions of Central America and southern Mexico during the next several days. Heavy rains could also begin to impact portions of the northern Gulf Coast on Friday. Please consult products from your local meteorological service for more information. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. Shower activity is limited in association with a tropical wave located a few hundred miles south-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Development, if any, should be slow to occur during the next couple of days while the wave moves westward. Thereafter, a combination of dry air aloft and strong upper-level winds should end the chances of formation when the wave reaches the central tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi/Roth

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-06-15 13:49:18| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 151149 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Tue Jun 15 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Carlos, located about 1700 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. A broad area of low pressure is expected to form later this week a couple of hundred miles offshore of the coast of southwestern Mexico. Environmental conditions are expected to be generally favorable for gradual development of this system thereafter, and a tropical depression could form by this weekend while it moves slowly northwestward, roughly parallel to the southwestern coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Latto

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-06-15 13:48:48| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 151148 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Tue Jun 15 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Bill, located a few hundred miles east-southeast of Nantucket, Massachusetts. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue over the Bay of Campeche and southern Mexico in association with a broad low pressure area. This system is expected to move little during the next day or two, and any development should be slow to occur during that time period. However, the disturbance should begin to move northward by Thursday, and a tropical depression is likely to form late in the week when the low moves across the central or northwestern Gulf of Mexico. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall will continue over portions of Central America and southern Mexico during the next several days. Heavy rains could also begin to impact portions of the northern Gulf Coast on Friday. Please consult products from your local meteorological service for more information. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. Showers and thunderstorms have decreased and become less organized during the past several hours in association with a tropical wave located a few hundred miles south of the Cabo Verde Islands. Development, if any, should be slow to occur during the next couple of days while the wave moves westward. Thereafter, a combination of dry air aloft and strong upper-level winds should limit the chances of formation when the wave reaches the central tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Bill are issued under WMO header WTNT32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT2. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Bill are issued under WMO header WTNT22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT2. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

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