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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-06-17 01:33:21| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 162333 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Wed Jun 16 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Shower activity associated with the broad low pressure area over the Bay of Campeche and the adjacent land areas has become a little better organized since yesterday. This system will move little tonight, and little if any development is expected during that time due to interaction with land. However, the low should begin to move northward on Thursday, and a tropical depression is likely to form by late Thursday or on Friday when the low moves across the western Gulf of Mexico. An Air Force Reserve Unit reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the area on Thursday, if necessary. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall will continue over portions of Central America and southern Mexico during the next few days. Heavy rains should also begin to affect portions of the northern Gulf Coast on Friday. Please consult products from your local meteorological service for more information. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-06-17 01:14:48| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 162314 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Wed Jun 16 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A surface trough of low pressure is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms that extends several hundred miles south of the coast of southern Mexico. Environmental conditions appear conducive for development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form late this week while moving west-northwestward or northwestward at 5 to 10 mph, near the coast of southwestern Mexico. Regardless of development, heavy rains are likely over coastal sections of the Mexican states of Oaxaca, Guerrero, Michoacan, Colima, and Jalisco during the next few days, which could cause life-threatening flash floods and mud slides. Interests in these areas should monitor the progress of this system through the weekend. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. $$ Forecaster Reinhart/Beven
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-06-16 19:44:46| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 161744 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Wed Jun 16 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue over the Bay of Campeche and southern Mexico in association with a broad low pressure area. This system will move little today and tonight, and little if any development is expected during that time due to interaction with land. However, the system should begin to move northward on Thursday, and a tropical depression is likely to form by late Thursday or on Friday when the low moves across the western Gulf of Mexico. An Air Force Reserve Unit reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the area on Thursday. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall will continue over portions of Central America and southern Mexico during the next few days. Heavy rains should also begin to affect portions of the northern Gulf Coast on Friday. Please consult products from your local meteorological service for more information. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. $$ Forecaster Pasch
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-06-16 19:37:48| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 161737 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Wed Jun 16 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on Post-Tropical Cyclone Carlos, located about 2000 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. A surface trough of low pressure is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms extending several hundred miles south of the coast of southern Mexico. Environmental conditions appear conducive for development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form late this week while moving west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph, near the coast of southwestern Mexico. Regardless of development, heavy rains are likely over coastal sections of the Mexican states of Oaxaca, Guerrero, Michoacan, Colima, and Jalisco during the next few days, which could cause life-threatening flash floods and mud slides. Interests in these areas should monitor the progress of this system through the weekend. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-06-16 13:40:40| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
283 ABPZ20 KNHC 161140 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Wed Jun 16 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Carlos, located about 1900 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located a few hundred miles south of the coast of southern Mexico are associated with a broad trough of low pressure. A low-pressure system is expected to develop along this trough within the next couple of days, and environmental conditions should be favorable for gradual development of this disturbance later this week. A tropical depression could form by the weekend while the system moves west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph, offshore of and parallel to the southwestern coast of Mexico. Regardless of development, heavy rains are likely over the Mexican states of Oaxaca, Guerrero, and Michoacan during the next few days, and these rains could cause life-threatening flash floods and mud slides. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
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