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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-10-13 19:47:31| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 131747 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Tue Oct 13 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A broad area of low pressure associated with a tropical wave is located about 400 miles east of the Windward Islands. Although the low continues to produce an area of showers and thunderstorms, that activity remains confined to the east of the center due to strong upper-level winds. In addition, recent satellite data indicate that the circulation is a little less defined than it was yesterday. Some slight development of this system is still possible today while it moves westward to west-northwestward, but upper-level winds are expected to become even less favorable for development tonight and Wednesday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-10-13 19:42:30| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 131742 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Tue Oct 13 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Recent visible satellite imagery, satellite-derived wind data, and surface observations suggest that an area of low pressure centered just northwest of Socorro Island, Mexico is becoming better organized. If current development trends continue, advisories may be started on a short-lived tropical depression later today. The system is forecast to move northwestward at 10 to 15 mph through Wednesday, when it is expected to encounter cooler waters and stronger upper-level winds that will likely inhibit further development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. $$ Forecaster Reinhart/Beven
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weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-10-13 13:38:29| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 131138 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Tue Oct 13 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An area of low pressure, associated in part with the remnants of Norbert, is located just southeast of Socorro Island, Mexico. Satellite imagery indicates the low continues to produce showers and thunderstorms near its center, and overnight satellite-derived wind data revealed the low was becoming better organized. If this development trend continues, a short-lived tropical depression could form today or tonight while the low moves slowly west-northwestward. However, environmental conditions are forecast to become less conducive for development by Wednesday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. $$ Forecaster Reinhart/Cangialosi
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-10-13 13:37:29| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 131137 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Tue Oct 13 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Showers and thunderstorms have become a little less organized this morning in association with a broad area of low pressure located about 500 miles east of the Windward Islands. Upper-level winds are gradually becoming less conducive, so only some slight development is possible today while the system moves westward. By tonight, upper-level winds are expected to become even less favorable for tropical cyclone formation to occur. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2020-10-13 07:27:20| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 130527 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Mon Oct 12 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An area of low pressure, associated in part with the remnants of Norbert, is located less than 100 miles east-southeast of Socorro Island, Mexico. Satellite imagery and recent satellite-derived surface wind data indicate that the low has continued to become better defined, while associated showers and thunderstorms have increased and become better organized. If this recent development trend continues, then a short-lived tropical depression could form on Tuesday while the low moves slowly west-northwestward. By Wednesday, however, environmental conditions are forecast to become less conducive for development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
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