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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-10-02 07:47:05| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 020546 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Fri Oct 2 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Satellite imagery indicates that shower activity associated with the broad low pressure are over the northwestern Caribbean Sea is becoming better organized. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for a tropical depression or a tropical storm to form later today or Saturday if the system remains over the waters of the northwestern Caribbean Sea or southern Gulf of Mexico. Interests in the Yucatan Peninsula and northern Central America should monitor the progress of this system as it moves generally northwestward, as tropical storm watches or warning may be required for portions of these areas later today or tonight. Regardless of development, this system is expected to produce heavy rains, with possible flash flooding, over portions of southeastern Mexico, Central America, and western Cuba during the next several days. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system this afternoon, if necessary. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. Another tropical wave moving across the eastern Caribbean Sea is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms, accompanied by locally rainfall and gusty winds. This wave is forecast to move westward at 15 to 20 mph during the next several days, and environmental conditions could become a little more conducive for development when the system is over the central or western Caribbean Sea early next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-10-02 07:42:38| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 020542 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Thu Oct 1 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Marie, located almost 1000 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. A broad area of low pressure is expected to form several hundred miles southwest of the coast of southwestern Mexico this weekend. Some development of this system is possible early next week while it moves west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 
 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-10-02 01:36:01| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 012335 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Thu Oct 1 2020 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A broad area of low pressure has developed over the west-central Caribbean Sea just north of the northeastern coast of Honduras. Satellite images indicate that showers and thunderstorms are slowly becoming better organized, and a NOAA buoy northeast of the center has reported winds to near tropical storm force during the past few hours. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for a tropical depression or a tropical storm to form on Friday or Saturday, but only if the system moves and remains over the waters of the northwestern Caribbean Sea or southern Gulf of Mexico. Development will become less likely if the system moves over the Yucatan Peninsula or northern Central America. Regardless of development, this system is expected to produce locally heavy rains, with possible flash flooding, over portions of southeastern Mexico, Central America, and western Cuba during the next several days, and interests in those areas should monitor the progress of this disturbance. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system tomorrow afternoon, if necessary. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. Another tropical wave moving across the Lesser Antilles is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms, accompanied by locally rainfall and gusty winds. This wave is forecast to move westward at 15 to 20 mph during the next several days, and environmental conditions could become a little more conducive for development when the system is over the central or western Caribbean Sea early next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-10-02 01:26:02| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 012325 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Thu Oct 1 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Marie, located several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. A broad area of low pressure is expected to form several hundred miles southwest of the coast of southwestern Mexico this weekend. Some development of this system is possible early next week while it moves west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2020-10-01 20:48:55| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

451 ABPZ20 KNHC 011739 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Thu Oct 1 2020 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Marie, located several hundred miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. A broad area of low pressure is expected to form a few hundred miles southwest of the coast of southwestern Mexico in a few days. Some development of this system is possible into early next week while it moves west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Pasch

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

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