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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-09-30 13:43:59| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 301143 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Thu Sep 30 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Sam, located a few hundred miles northeast of the northern Leeward Islands, and on Tropical Storm Victor, located over the eastern tropical Atlantic. Shower activity associated with a trough of low pressure located over the tropical Atlantic about midway between the Cabo Verde Islands and the Lesser Antilles remains limited. This system is expected to move slowly west-northwestward, and development is not anticipated. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Victor are issued under WMO header WTNT35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT5. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Victor are issued under WMO header WTNT25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT5. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-09-30 07:15:56| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 300515 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Thu Sep 30 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Sam, located a few hundred miles east-northeast of the northern Leeward Islands, and on Tropical Storm Victor, located over the eastern tropical Atlantic. Shower activity associated with a trough of low pressure located over the tropical Atlantic about midway between the Cabo Verde Islands and the Lesser Antilles has become limited. Environmental conditions are forecast to become less conducive over the next few days, and significant development of this system is no longer anticipated. The disturbance is forecast to move westward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Victor are issued under WMO header WTNT35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT5. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Victor are issued under WMO header WTNT25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT5. $$ Forecaster Brown

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 
 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-09-30 07:07:24| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

803 ABPZ20 KNHC 300507 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Wed Sep 29 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A broad area of low pressure located about 1400 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for slow development during the next several days, and a tropical depression could form over the weekend or early next week while the system moves generally westward at around 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. Cloudiness and showers remain disorganized near a broad area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. Any development of this system during the next day or two should be slow to occur while it moves toward the west-northwest at 5 to 10 mph and reaches an area of stronger upper-level winds by Friday or Friday night. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-09-30 01:48:19| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

647 ABPZ20 KNHC 292348 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Wed Sep 29 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A broad area of low pressure located more than 1000 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for slow development during the next several days, and a tropical depression could form by the weekend while the system moves generally westward at around 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. A broad low pressure system located a few hundred miles south of Manzanillo, Mexico, is producing disorganized showers and a few thunderstorms, and environmental conditions are only marginally conducive for development. The low is forecast to meander off the coast of southwestern Mexico today and tonight, and then move slowly toward the west-northwest at about 5 mph away from the coast of Mexico on Thursday and Friday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Papin

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-09-30 01:46:24| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 292346 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Wed Sep 29 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Sam, located several hundred miles east-northeast of the northern Leeward Islands, and on recently upgraded Tropical Storm Victor, located over the eastern tropical Atlantic. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue in association with a trough of low pressure located about 1000 miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Some slow development of this system is possible during the next couple of days while it moves slowly west-northwestward across the central tropical Atlantic. Afterwards, environmental conditions are forecast to become less conducive for development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. Showers and thunderstorms have mostly diminished with an area of low pressure associated with the remnants of Peter, located several hundred miles south of the coast of Newfoundland. This low is becoming poorly defined while moving northeast over cooler waters and into a region of strong upper-level winds. Further development is no longer anticipated. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Victor are issued under WMO header WTNT35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT5. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Victor are issued under WMO header WTNT25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT5. High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php $$ Forecaster Papin

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

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