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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-09-27 01:40:00| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 262339 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Sun Sep 26 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Sam, located several hundred miles east of Lesser Antilles. Showers and thunderstorms have become a little better organized today in association with a surface trough (the remnants of Peter) located several hundred miles southeast of Bermuda. Upper-level winds are marginally conducive for further development, and Peter could become a tropical depression again during the next couple of days while it moves northeastward at about 10 mph. By midweek, environmental conditions are expected to become unfavorable for further development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. A tropical wave is expected to move off the west coast of Africa on Monday. Upper-level winds are forecast to be conducive for gradual development thereafter, and a tropical depression is likely to form in a few days while the system moves westward to west- northwestward at 10 to 15 mph over the far eastern tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. A broad area of low pressure appears to be be forming several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions are forecast to support further development of this disturbance, and a tropical depression is likely to form around midweek while it moves westward at 5 to 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-09-27 01:18:28| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 262318 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Sun Sep 26 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An area of low pressure is likely to form several hundred miles southwest of the southwestern coast of Mexico in a few days. Environmental conditions could be conducive for slow development by midweek while the systems moves slowly toward the northwest. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 
 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-09-26 19:43:41| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 261743 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Sun Sep 26 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Sam, located about 850 miles east-southeast of the northern Leeward Islands. Showers and thunderstorms have become a little better organized today in association with a surface trough that is the remnants of Peter. Upper-level winds are marginally conducive for some slow development of this disturbance over the next couple of days as it moves northeastward at about 10 mph. By midweek, environmental conditions are expected to become unfavorable for further development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. A tropical wave is expected to move off the west coast of Africa on Monday. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual development thereafter, and a tropical depression could form by midweek while the system moves westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph over the far eastern tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. A broad area of low pressure is expected to form over the eastern or central tropical Atlantic early this week, to the west of the tropical wave that will be moving off the coast of Africa. Thereafter, environmental conditions are forecast to support some development of this disturbance, and a tropical depression could form by late this week while it moves westward at 5 to 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Latto

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-09-26 19:08:22| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 261708 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Sun Sep 26 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days. $$ Forecaster Latto

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-09-26 13:45:45| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

843 ABNT20 KNHC 261145 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Sun Sep 26 2021 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Sam, located about 900 miles east-southeast of the northern Leeward Islands. An elongated area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms associated with the remnants of Peter is located a few hundred miles southeast of Bermuda. Upper-level winds only appear marginally conducive for some slow development of this disturbance over the next couple of days as it moves northeastward at about 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. A tropical wave is expected to move off the west coast of Africa on Monday. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual development thereafter, and a tropical depression could form by midweek while the system moves westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph over the far eastern tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. A broad area of low pressure could form over the eastern or central tropical Atlantic early this week, to the west of the tropical wave that will be moving off the coast of Africa. Thereafter, environmental conditions could support some development of this disturbance while it moves westward at 5 to 10 mph through the middle of the week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Hagen/Pasch

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

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