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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-09-26 07:02:07| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 260501 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Wed Sep 25 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Shower activity associated with a broad area of low pressure located several hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula has decreased and become less organized since the afternoon. Some development of this system is still possible and a tropical depression could form while it moves slowly northward or north-northeastward for the next day or so. The disturbance is forecast to turn southeastward on Friday and environmental conditions are expected to become unfavorable for further development at that time. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. A broad area of disturbed weather is located over the far eastern portion of the East Pacific basin. This system is expected to move westward during the next day or two into a region of deep southwesterly flow south of the southern coast of Mexico. A tropical depression is subsequently likely to form over the weekend or early next week while the system moves generally west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph near the southern and southwestern coasts of Mexico. Regardless of development, this system could cause heavy rainfall over southern and southwestern Mexico through early next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-09-26 01:06:02| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 252305 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Wed Sep 25 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Shower activity associated with a broad area of low pressure several hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula has become a little more concentrated this afternoon. Gradual development of this system is possible during the next day or so, and a tropical depression could form while it moves slowly northward. By this weekend, conditions are expected to become unfavorable for further development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. An area of low pressure is expected to form within a couple hundred miles of the southern coast of Mexico during the next day or two. A tropical depression is likely to form over the weekend or early next week while the system moves generally west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph near the southern and southwestern coasts of Mexico. Regardless of development, this system could bring heavy rainfall over southern and southwestern Mexico this weekend and into early next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. $$ Forecaster Latto

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 
 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-09-26 01:04:00| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

505 ABNT20 KNHC 252303 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Wed Sep 25 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Karen, located a few hundred miles north-northeast of Puerto Rico, and on Tropical Storm Lorenzo, located over the eastern tropical Atlantic. The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on post-tropical cyclone Jerry. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days. $$ Forecaster Latto

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-09-25 19:47:59| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 251747 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Wed Sep 25 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Shower activity associated with a broad area of low pressure several hundred miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula has changed little during the past several hours. Gradual development of this system is possible during the next couple of days while it moves slowly northward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. An area of low pressure is expected to form within a couple hundred miles of the southern coast of Mexico during the next day or two. A tropical depression is likely to form over the weekend or early next week while the system moves generally west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph near the southern and southwestern coasts of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-09-25 19:32:57| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 251732 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Wed Sep 25 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Post-Tropical Cyclone Jerry, located just to the west of Bermuda, on Tropical Storm Karen, located a few hundred miles north-northeast of Puerto Rico, and on Tropical Storm Lorenzo, located over the eastern tropical Atlantic. A weak area of low pressure located just offshore of the northwestern coast of the Yucatan peninsula continues to produce limited shower activity. Development of this system is not expected while it moves westward at about 5 mph across the southwestern Gulf of Mexico. The disturbance is expected to move inland over northeastern Mexico on Saturday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

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