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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-28 01:28:04| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 272327 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Fri Sep 27 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A rather large area of disturbed weather extends from Central America westward along the southwest coast of Mexico. A broad area of low pressure is trying to form south-southeast of Acapulco in association with this disturbance, but there is no evidence of a well defined center at this time. Environmental conditions are very favorable for a tropical depression or a tropical storm to form within this area of disturbed weather during the next day or so, while it moves west-northwestward to northwestward at about 10 mph near the southwestern coast of Mexico. Interests along this portion of the coast should monitor the progress of the disturbance, since tropical storm watches or warnings could be required at any time on Saturday. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall, with the possibility of flash flooding and mudslides, is expected near the southwestern coast of Mexico during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. An area of low pressure is expected to form over the far southwestern portion of the eastern North Pacific by early next week. Some gradual development is possible thereafter while the system drifts slowly eastward or northeastward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Avila
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-28 01:04:33| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 272304 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Fri Sep 27 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Lorenzo, located over the central tropical Atlantic. The National Hurricane Center has issued the last advisory on Karen which has dissipated several hundred miles east-southeast of Bermuda. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days. $$ Forecaster Roberts
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-27 19:33:31| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 271733 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Fri Sep 27 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently downgraded Tropical Depression Karen, located several hundred miles southeast of Bermuda, and on Hurricane Lorenzo, located over the central tropical Atlantic. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days. $$ Forecaster Beven
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-27 19:29:38| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 271729 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Fri Sep 27 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A low pressure system appears to be forming a few hundred miles south-southeast of Acapulco, Mexico. Although the associated shower and thunderstorm activity is not well organized, this system is likely to become a tropical depression or tropical storm during the next couple of days while it moves west-northwestward to northwestward at about 10 mph near the southern and southwestern coast of Mexico. Interests along this portion of the coast should monitor the progress of the disturbance since tropical storm watches or warnings could be required at any time during the next couple of days. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall, with the possibility of flash flooding and mudslides, is expected near the southern and southwestern coast of Mexico during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. A small area of low pressure located a few hundred miles southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico, is producing very little shower activity. The low is expected to be absorbed by the larger weather disturbance near the coast of Mexico during the next day or so, and therefore development is not expected. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low... near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent. An area of low pressure is expected to form over the far southwestern portion of the eastern North Pacific by early next week. Some gradual development is possible thereafter while the system drifts slowly eastward or northeastward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg/Hagen
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-09-27 13:41:30| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 271141 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Fri Sep 27 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Karen, located several hundred miles southeast of Bermuda, and on Hurricane Lorenzo, located over the central tropical Atlantic. Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days. $$ Forecaster Beven
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
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