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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-08-19 13:49:39| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 191149 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Mon Aug 19 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An elongated area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles southeast of the Gulf of Tehuantepec is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are forecast to become conducive for development during the next couple of days, and a tropical depression is likely to form by mid-week while the low moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph parallel to the coast of Mexico. Moisture associated with this disturbance could produce heavy rainfall and possible flash flooding across portions of Guatemala and southeastern Mexico during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A well-defined low pressure system located more 900 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce a large area of cloudiness and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to gradually become more conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next few days while the system moves westward to west-northwestward at about 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent. $$ Forecaster Roberts

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-08-19 07:32:37| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 190532 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Sun Aug 18 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An elongated area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles south of Guatemala and southeastern Mexico is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. However, environmental conditions are forecast to become more conducive for development during the next couple of days, and a tropical depression is expected to form by Tuesday or Wednesday while the low moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph parallel to the coast of Mexico. Moisture associated with this disturbance could produce heavy rainfall and possible flash flooding across portions of Guatemala and southeastern Mexico during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A well-defined low pressure system located more 900 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce a large area of cloudiness and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to gradually improve, and a tropical depression could form during the next few days while the system moves westward to west-northwestward at about 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 
 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-08-19 07:26:35| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

860 ABNT20 KNHC 190526 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Mon Aug 19 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Thunderstorm activity has increased this morning near and to the northeast of a well-defined low pressure system located more than 200 miles east-northeast of Norfolk, Virginia. There is still a slight chance for significant organization to occur through today while the system moves northeastward away from the United States. Environmental conditions are expected become unfavorable for tropical cyclone formation on Tuesday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-08-19 01:36:02| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 182335 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Sun Aug 18 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A low pressure area located about 100 miles east of Norfolk, Virginia, is producing limited shower and thunderstorm activity. This low is moving northeastward, away from the United States, and has only a slight chance to significantly organize through Monday before upper-level winds become unfavorable for further development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake

Tags: weather atlantic outlook tropical

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-08-19 01:34:35| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 182334 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Sun Aug 18 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An elongated area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles south of Guatemala and southeastern Mexico continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. However, environmental conditions are forecast to become more conducive for development during the next couple of days, and a tropical depression is expected to form by Tuesday or Wednesday while the low moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph parallel to the coast of Mexico. Moisture associated with this disturbance could produce heavy rainfall and possible flash flooding across portions of Guatemala and southeastern Mexico during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A low pressure system located more 900 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing a large area of cloudiness and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to gradually improve, and a tropical depression could form during the next few days while the system moves westward to west-northwestward at about 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

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