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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-08-18 19:42:27| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 181742 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Sun Aug 18 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles south of the Mexico/Guatemala border remain disorganized. Environmental conditions are expected to become more conducive for development during the next couple of days, and a tropical depression is expected to form by Tuesday or Wednesday while the low moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph parallel to the coast of Mexico. Moisture associated with the low is forecast to produce heavy rainfall and possible flash flooding across portions of Guatemala and southeastern Mexico during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A tropical wave located about 900 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Environmental conditions continue to support slow development, and a tropical depression could form later this week while the system moves westward to west-northwestward at about 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. Another tropical wave located about 1300 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing limited shower and thunderstorm activity. Environmental conditions are not expected to be conducive for development while the system moves slowly westward at about 10 mph during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-08-18 19:09:31| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 181709 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Sun Aug 18 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A low pressure system near the North Carolina Outer Banks is moving into the Atlantic. Upper-level winds are forecast to be only marginally conducive for development while the system moves northeastward to east-northeastward, and away from the U.S. east coast, during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Pasch
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-08-18 13:47:53| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 181147 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Sun Aug 18 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles south-southwest of the coast of Guatemala have changed little in organization since yesterday. Environmental conditions are expected to become more conducive for development during the next couple of days, and a tropical depression is expected to form by Tuesday or Wednesday while the low moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph parallel to the coast of Mexico. Moisture associated with the low is forecast to produce heavy rainfall and possible flash flooding across portions of El Salvador, Guatemala, and southeastern Mexico during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A tropical wave located about 900 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Environmental conditions continue to support slow development, and this system has the potential to become a tropical cyclone by the middle of the week while it moves westward to west-northwestward at about 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. Shower and thunderstorm activity near another tropical wave located about 1300 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula has decreased since yesterday. Any development of this system during the next couple of days is expected to be slow to occur while it moves slowly westward at about 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Berg
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-08-18 13:46:29| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 181146 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Sun Aug 18 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A small low pressure system located over eastern North Carolina is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Any tropical development today is expected to be limited due to the system's proximity to land. By tonight, the low is expected to move northeastward over the Atlantic, where some further organization could occur before the system encounters cooler waters in a day or so. The low is forecast to produce heavy rainfall along with a threat of flash flooding in coastal portions of North Carolina through this evening. Please see products from your local National Weather Service office or the Weather Prediction Center's Excessive Rainfall Outlook for more information. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Pasch
Tags: weather
atlantic
outlook
tropical
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-08-18 07:30:50| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 180530 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Sat Aug 17 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles south of the coast of Guatemala is producing a limited area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms tonight. Environmental conditions are expected to become more conducive for development by early next week, and a tropical depression is expected to form by Tuesday while the low moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph parallel to the coast of Mexico. Moisture associated with the low is forecast to produce heavy rainfall and possible flash flooding across portions of El Salvador, Guatemala, and southeastern Mexico during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a tropical wave located about 900 miles south-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California has increased since yesterday. Environmental conditions continue to support slow development, and this system has the potential to become a tropical cyclone by the middle of next week while it moves westward to west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. Another tropical wave, located about 1300 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula, is producing cloudiness and showers. Some development of this system is possible during the next couple of days while it moves slowly westward across the southwestern portion of the eastern Pacific. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
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