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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-06-06 19:56:04| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 061755 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Sun Jun 6 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Satellite imagery indicates that an area of low pressure located several hundred miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico is producing an organized area of showers and thunderstorms and could be developing a better-defined surface circulation. This system will likely become a tropical depression by tonight while it moves slowly westward. Upper-level winds are expected to become less favorable for additional development in a couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A broad trough of low pressure is expected to form a couple of hundred miles south of the coasts of southern Mexico, El Salvador, and Guatemala in a few days. Environmental conditions appear favorable for some development, and a tropical depression could develop by the end of the week as the system moves slowly northwestward or northward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Reinhart/Blake

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-06-06 13:40:44| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

310 ABPZ20 KNHC 061140 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Sun Jun 6 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure located several hundred miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico continue to show increasing signs of organization. This system will likely become a tropical depression later today or tonight while it moves slowly westward. Environmental conditions are expected to become less conducive for additional development in a couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A broad trough of low pressure is expected to form a couple of hundred miles south of the coasts of southern Mexico, El Salvador, and Guatemala in a few days. Gradual development of this system is possible thereafter while it drifts northward through the end of next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Reinhart/Blake

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 
 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-06-06 07:17:56| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 060517 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Sat Jun 5 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms have become better organized during the past few hours in association with an area of low pressure located about 450 miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. In addition, satellite images suggest that the low-level circulation is gradually becoming better defined. This system will likely become a tropical depression on Sunday while it moves slowly westward. Environmental conditions are expected to become less conducive for additional development in a couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A broad trough of low pressure is expected to form a couple of hundred miles south of the coasts of El Salvador and Guatemala in a few days. Gradual development of this system is possible thereafter while it drifts northwestward through the end of next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-06-06 01:07:49| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 052307 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Sat Jun 5 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms are showing signs of organization in association with an area of low pressure located about 500 miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. However, recent satellite wind data indicate that the circulation remains broad and not well defined. A tropical depression is likely to form during the next day or so while the system moves slowly westward. Environmental conditions are expected to become less conducive for development in a few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. A broad trough of low pressure is expected to form a couple of hundred miles south of the coasts of El Salvador and Guatemala in a few days. Gradual development of this system is possible thereafter while it drifts northwestward through the end of next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-06-05 19:54:18| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 051754 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Sat Jun 5 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The area of low pressure located about 500 miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico is gradually becoming better defined. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for further development, and a tropical depression is likely to form today or tomorrow while it moves slowly to the west well off the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. A broad trough of low pressure is expected to form a few hundred miles south of the Gulf of Tehuantepec by the middle of next week. Gradual development of this system is possible thereafter as it drifts slowly northward through the end of next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Papin/Blake

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

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