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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-06-08 01:01:57| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 072301 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Mon Jun 7 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms continue to become less organized in association with a broad area of low pressure located about 700 miles south of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Environmental conditions are expected to become increasingly unfavorable, and development of this system is now unlikely. The disturbance is forecast to move slowly west-southwestward during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. A broad trough of low pressure is expected to form a couple of hundred miles south of the coasts of southern Mexico, El Salvador, and Guatemala in a day or two. Environmental conditions appear favorable for some development thereafter, and a tropical depression could form by the end of the week as the system moves slowly northwestward or northward. Regardless of development, this system could produce heavy rainfall over portions of Central America and southern Mexico later this week and into the weekend. See products from your local meteorological service for more information. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-06-07 19:53:28| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 071753 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Mon Jun 7 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Satellite imagery indicates that an area of low pressure located about 400 miles south of Socorro Island has developed a well-defined center. However, the associated shower and thunderstorm activity is not well-organized. Environmental conditions are expected to become increasingly unfavorable beginning tonight, and the chances of a short-lived tropical depression forming are decreasing. The system is forecast to move slowly west-southwestward during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. A broad trough of low pressure is expected to form a couple of hundred miles south of the coasts of southern Mexico, El Salvador, and Guatemala in a day or two. Environmental conditions appear favorable for some development thereafter, and a tropical depression could form by the end of the week as the system moves slowly northwestward or northward. Regardless of development, this system could produce heavy rainfall over portions of Central America and southern Mexico later this week and into the weekend. See products from your local meteorological service for more information. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Reinhart/Blake
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-06-07 13:39:52| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 071139 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Mon Jun 7 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms continue in association with an area of low pressure located about 400 miles south-southeast of Socorro Island. However, the system still lacks a well-defined center, as recent satellite imagery indicates the low-level circulation remains broad and displaced well east of the thunderstorm activity. The disturbance still has the potential to become a short-lived tropical depression today before environmental conditions become less favorable for development by tonight. The system is forecast to move slowly west-southwestward during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. A broad trough of low pressure is expected to form a couple of hundred miles south of the coasts of southern Mexico, El Salvador, and Guatemala in a day or two. Environmental conditions appear favorable for some development thereafter, and a tropical depression could form by the end of the week as the system moves slowly northwestward or northward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Reinhart/Blake
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-06-07 07:33:15| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 070533 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Sun Jun 6 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An area of low pressure located about 550 miles southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico, continues to produce an area of showers and thunderstorms. Recent satellite wind data indicate that the broad circulation is located well east of the thunderstorm activity and lacks a well-defined center. The disturbance still has the potential to become a tropical depression on Monday before environmental conditions become less favorable for development by Monday night. The system is forecast to move slowly west- southwestward during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days..high...70 percent. A broad trough of low pressure is expected to form a couple of hundred miles south of the coasts of southern Mexico, El Salvador, and Guatemala in a day or two. Environmental conditions appear favorable for some development, and a tropical depression could develop by the end of the week as the system moves slowly northwestward or northward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Brown
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2021-06-07 01:15:12| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 062315 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Sun Jun 6 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms continue in association with an area of low pressure located about 500 miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. However, the circulation of the system remains broad and elongated and it still lacks a well-defined center. Development of this system into a short-lived tropical depression is still likely before environmental conditions become less favorable by late Monday. The low pressure area is expected to move slowly westward well south of Mexico during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. A broad trough of low pressure is expected to form a couple of hundred miles south of the coasts of southern Mexico, El Salvador, and Guatemala in a day or two. Environmental conditions appear favorable for some development, and a tropical depression could develop by the end of the week as the system moves slowly northwestward or northward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
Tags: north
weather
pacific
eastern
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