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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-10-02 01:30:28| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 012330 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Fri Oct 1 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms have changed little in organization in association with a broad area of low pressure located about 1600 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Environmental conditions are somewhat conducive for slow development during the next several days, and a tropical depression could form over the weekend or early next week while the system drifts westward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. A trough of low pressure is producing a few disorganized showers and thunderstorms a few hundred miles west of Manzanillo, Mexico. Development of this system is no longer anticipated due to unfavorable environmental conditions as it moves generally west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent. $$ Forecaster Papin

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-10-01 19:55:26| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 011755 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Fri Oct 1 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A broad area of low pressure located about 1600 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for slow development during the next several days, and a tropical depression could form over the weekend or early next week while the system drifts westward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. A trough of low pressure is producing a few disorganized showers and thunderstorms a couple of hundred miles west of Manzanillo, Mexico. Development of this system has become less likely due to unfavorable environmental conditions. The system is forecast to move generally west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph during the next day or two. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster D. Zelinsky

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 
 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-10-01 14:22:22| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 011145 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Fri Oct 1 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A broad area of low pressure located about 1500 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for slow development during the next several days, and a tropical depression could form over the weekend or early next week while the system moves generally westward at 5 to 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue in association with an elongated area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles west-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. This system is moving west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph, and some slow development is possible through early today before it reaches an area of stronger upper-level winds. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Latto

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-10-01 07:20:21| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 010520 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Thu Sep 30 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A broad area of low pressure located about 1500 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for slow development during the next several days, and a tropical depression could form over the weekend or early next week while the system moves generally westward at 5 to 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue in association with an elongated area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles west-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. This system is moving west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph, and some slow development is possible through early Friday before it reaches an area of stronger upper-level winds. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2021-10-01 01:41:56| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 302341 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Thu Sep 30 2021 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A broad area of low pressure located about 1500 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for slow development during the next several days, and a tropical depression could form over the weekend or early next week while the system moves generally westward at 5 to 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue in association with an area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles west-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. This system is moving west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph, and some slow development is possible through early Friday before it reaches an area of stronger upper-level winds. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven

Tags: north weather pacific eastern

 

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