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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2016-09-09 19:56:49| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 091756 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 200 PM EDT FRI SEP 9 2016 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A large area of disturbed weather associated with a westward-moving tropical wave is located a little more than 1000 miles east of the Lesser Antilles. This system is gradually becoming better organized, and conditions are forecast to be favorable for a tropical depression to form this weekend or early next week. This disturbance is expected to move toward the west-northwest and then northwest over the central Atlantic during the next several days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent Cloudiness and showers located just north of the northern Leeward Islands and Puerto Rico are spreading west-northwestward with no signs of organization. Environmental conditions are not expected to be conducive for significant development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent Satellite wind data indicate that low pressure located in the Straits of Florida is producing squalls of 30 to 35 mph east of its center. If the system's thunderstorm activity persists or increases in organization, it could result in the formation of a tropical depression later today or Saturday. However, even if a depression forms, upper-level winds are not favorable for significant development while the system moves westward into the southeastern Gulf of Mexico. This system could produce squalls and gusty winds in the Florida Keys tonight and Saturday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent $$ Forecaster Avila
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