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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2016-09-11 13:27:54| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 111127 TWOAT TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 800 AM EDT SUN SEP 11 2016 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: A low pressure system located about 1000 miles east of the Leeward Islands is producing a large area of cloudiness and showers, but it currently has limited thunderstorm activity near the center of circulation. However, a tropical depression is still likely to form later today or on Monday before upper-level winds become less conducive for development. The low is expected to move northwestward or north-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph over the central Atlantic Ocean during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent Showers and thunderstorms have increased with a disturbance located near the southeastern Bahamas. However, there are still no signs of a surface circulation, and conditions do not appear conducive for significant development of this disturbance while it moves west- northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. Heavy rainfall is possible over portions of the Bahamas today and on Monday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent A few showers and thunderstorms have re-formed near a weak area of low pressure located over southeastern Gulf of Mexico. However, upper-level winds will not be conducive for development of this system while it moves generally westward across the Gulf of Mexico during the next few days at 5 to 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent * Formation chance through 5 days...low...near 0 percent $$ Forecaster Berg
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