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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-07-04 22:54:36| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 042054 TWOAT Special Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 455 PM EDT Wed Jul 4 2018 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Special tropical weather outlook issued to update the discussion of the low pressure area west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located within a few hundred miles to the south of Bermuda are associated with a trough of low pressure. Environmental conditions appear conducive for some development of this system, and a tropical depression could form before the end of the week while the system moves west-northwestward and then northward between Bermuda and the east coast of the United States. The system is then forecast to interact with a frontal system on Sunday, which would limit any additional development. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...60 percent. Satellite imagery indicates that shower activity associated with a small area of low pressure and a tropical wave located several hundred miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands has become better organized during the past few hours. Some additional development of this system is possible, and a tropical depression could form during the next day or two while it moves westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph over the tropical Atlantic Ocean. By the weekend, upper-level winds are expected to become less conducive for development when the system approaches the Lesser Antilles. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven
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