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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-10-02 01:31:23| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 012331 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Tue Oct 1 2019 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Lorenzo, located a couple of hundred miles southwest of the western Azores. A broad area of low pressure located over the northwestern Caribbean Sea continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Although surface pressures are low across the area, the circulation is currently weak. Any development of this system is expected to be slow to occur while it moves to the west-northwest near the Yucatan peninsula in a couple of days, and over the southern Gulf of Mexico by Friday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. Disorganized cloudiness and showers that extend from the southeastern Bahamas northeastward across the western Atlantic for several hundred miles are associated with a surface trough. Development of this system, if any, should be slow to occur while it moves to the northeast or north at 5 to 10 mph, remaining well to south of Bermuda. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart

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