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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2024-06-20 07:46:18| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 200546 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 AM EDT Thu Jun 20 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Alberto, located over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico. Southwestern Atlantic Ocean (AL92): A small area of low pressure located about 250 miles east of the northernmost Bahamas is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. While environmental conditions are only marginally conducive due to nearby dry air, further development of this system is possible while the low moves west-northwestward and approaches the northeastern coast of Florida or the Georgia coast early on Friday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent. Southwestern Gulf of Mexico: A broad area of low pressure is forecast to form near the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico on Friday. Environmental conditions appear to be conducive for gradual development thereafter, and this system could become a tropical depression over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico this weekend while it moves slowly west-northwestward or northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Pasch


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