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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2024-09-08 02:10:23| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 080009 CCA TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook...Corrected NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Sat Sep 7 2024 Corrected typo in the second disturbance paragraph. For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Western Gulf of Mexico (AL91): An area of low pressure located over the Bay of Campeche is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. This disturbance is forecast to drift slowly northward during the next several days while it interacts with a frontal boundary. Environmental conditions are forecast to become more conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form while the system moves generally northward near or along the Gulf coast of Mexico and Texas through the middle of next week. Interests along the western Gulf of Mexico coast should closely monitor the progress of this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent. Central Tropical Atlantic: Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with an area of low pressure over the central tropical Atlantic has begun to show signs of organization. Gradual additional development is possible, and a tropical depression could form while the system meanders over the central tropical Atlantic through Monday and then moves generally westward at about 10 mph through the rest of next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent. Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms associated with a trough of low pressure are located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. The disturbance is expected to move very little during the next few days until it potentially interacts with a tropical wave that is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa by early Monday. Environmental conditions are expected to be favorable for gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression could form by the middle or late portions of next week. The system is expected to begin moving slowly westward by the end of the week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster D. Zelinsky


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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2024-09-08 01:32:19| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 072332 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Sat Sep 7 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Offshore of Southwestern Mexico: An area of low pressure is forecast to form during the early to middle part of next week, near or just to the south of the coast of southern or southwestern Mexico. Environmental conditions could support gradual development of this system thereafter while it moves generally northwestward, near the coast of southwestern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster D. Zelinsky


Category: Transportation and Logistics

 

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2024-09-07 19:52:18| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 071752 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Sat Sep 7 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Western Gulf of Mexico (AL91): An area of low pressure has formed over the Bay of Campeche and is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. The system is forecast to drift slowly northward for a couple of days while it interacts with a frontal boundary. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the early or middle part of next week while the system moves generally northward near or along the Mexican and Texas Gulf coastline. Interests along the western Gulf of Mexico coast should closely monitor the progress of this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent. Central Tropical Atlantic: An area of low pressure over the central tropical Atlantic is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Gradual development of this system is possible while the system meanders during the next couple of days, and a tropical depression could form early next week. The system is then forecast to move west-northwestward at about 10 mph across the central tropical Atlantic during the middle to latter part of next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent. Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms associated with a trough of low pressure are located several hundred miles east-southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands. Some slow development of this system is possible as it interacts with a tropical wave expected to move off the African continent early next week and moves west-northwestward at 5 to 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Bucci


Category: Transportation and Logistics

 

 

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