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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-11-01 12:48:08| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 011148 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Thu Nov 1 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An elongated low pressure system located several hundred miles south of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing a broad area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual development during the next several days, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next few days while the system moves slowly northward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low pressure located about 1500 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula remain disorganized. Any development during the next few days should be slow to occur while the disturbance moves toward the west or west-northwest at 5 to 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. An area of disturbed weather has formed about 1000 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Development of this system is expected to be slow due to the proximity of the disturbance to the east. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven
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