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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2018-11-02 00:27:34| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 012327 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Thu Nov 1 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A low pressure system centered about 700 miles south of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula has become better defined since yesterday. Shower and thunderstorm activity is beginning to show some signs of organization, and environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for the development of a tropical depression during the next day or so while the system moves slowly northward or northeastward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low pressure located about 1500 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula remain disorganized. Any development during the next few days should be slow to occur while the disturbance moves toward the west or west-northwest at 5 to 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. An area of disturbed weather is located about 1000 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Some development of this system is possible, although it could be limited due to the proximity of the larger disturbance to the east. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Stewart

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