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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2018-11-02 12:43:15| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 021143 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Fri Nov 2 2018 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Shower and thunderstorm activity continues to show signs of organization in association with a well-defined low pressure system centered more than 600 miles south of the southern tip of the Baja California Peninsula. A tropical depression is likely to form during the next day or so while the system moves slowly northeastward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low pressure located about 1600 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula remain disorganized. Upper-level winds are becoming less conducive, and any development should be slow to occur while the disturbance moves toward the west or west-northwest at 5 to 10 mph during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...10 percent. An area of disturbed weather is located about 1000 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Some development of this system is possible, although it could be limited due to the proximity of the larger disturbance to the east. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven
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