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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-08-10 19:22:18| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 101722 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Sat Aug 10 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: A trough of low pressure located about 100 miles southwest of Acapulco, Mexico is producing a large area of showers and thunderstorms. Some gradual development is possible during the next couple of days and a tropical depression could form while the system moves west-northwestward just off the southwestern coast of Mexico. After that time, conditions are forecast to become unfavorable for tropical cyclone formation. Regardless of development, the disturbance will likely bring locally heavy rainfall along portions of the southwestern coast of Mexico during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...40 percent. A broad area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Any development of this system during the next day or so should be slow to occur due to its close proximity to the disturbance near the coast of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. An area of disturbed weather is located a little less than 1000 miles south-southwest of the Baja California peninsula. Environmental conditions are expected to become more conducive for tropical cyclone formation by the middle next week as this disturbance moves westward or west- northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Latto/Brown
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