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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-08-17 01:54:59| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 162354 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Fri Aug 16 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: An area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles south of the coast of Guatemala is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to be conducive for development, and a tropical depression is likely to form early next week while the low moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph parallel to the coast of Mexico. Regardless of development, moisture associated with the low is forecast to produce heavy rainfall and possible flash flooding across portions of Central America and southeastern Mexico during the next few days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. A tropical wave is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms more than 1200 miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Gradual development of this disturbance is possible during the next few days while it moves slowly westward across the tropical eastern Pacific. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Blake/Hagen
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