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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2019-08-19 19:33:14| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 191733 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 AM PDT Mon Aug 19 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles southeast of the southern coast Mexico have become better organized during the past several hours. Environmental conditions are conducive for further development, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next day or two while the low moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph parallel to the coast of Mexico. Moisture associated with this disturbance could produce heavy rainfall and possible flash flooding across portions of Guatemala and southeastern Mexico during the next couple of days. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. A low pressure system located a little over 900 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula continues to produce a large area of cloudiness and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are expected to become more conducive for development by mid-week, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next few days while the system moves westward to west-northwestward at about 10 mph. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. $$ Forecaster Roberts

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