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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2019-10-15 13:27:36| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 151127 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Tue Oct 15 2019 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Showers and thunderstorms continue in association with a broad area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles south-southwest of the coast of Guatemala. Environmental conditions are conducive for development of this system, and a tropical depression or tropical storm is expected to form within the next couple of days while the system moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph near the coast of southeastern Mexico. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall currently occurring across Costa Rica, Nicaragua, Honduras and El Salvador is forecast to spread westward over Guatemala today, and across southern Mexico by Wednesday. These rains could cause flooding and mudslides, especially in mountainous areas. Interests in southeastern Mexico should monitor the progress of this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent. A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms centered about 1200 miles southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is associated with a surface trough of low pressure. Some development of this system is possible during the next few days while the system moves little. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster Roberts
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