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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-08-22 01:24:04| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 212323 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Wed Aug 21 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Gilma, located about a thousand miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Well East-Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands (EP91): Showers and thunderstorms have changed little in organization today in association with an area of low pressure located well east-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands. However, only a slight improvement in organization could result in the formation of a tropical depression or tropical storm later tonight or early Thursday while it moves generally westward at 10 to 15 mph. This system is expected to strengthen as it moves into the central Pacific basin on Thursday and moves near the Hawaiian Islands late this weekend or early next week. Interests in Hawaii should closely monitor this disturbance, though it remains too early to determine the exact location and magnitude of potential impacts. Information on this system's development can also be found in the Tropical Weather Outlook for the Central Pacific basin. For marine forecasts, including gale warnings, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent. Eastern and Central Portion of the East Pacific: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue in association with a trough of low pressure centered several hundred miles southwest of the coast of southwestern Mexico. Environmental conditions are forecast to be generally conducive for development over the next several days, and a tropical depression is likely to form in the next two to three days while the system moves west-northwestward into the central portion of the East Pacific, well offshore of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php The Tropical Weather Outlook for the Central Pacific basin can be found under AWIPS header HFOTWOCP and WMO header ACPN50 PHFO and on the web at hurricanes.gov $$ Forecaster Blake
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