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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-08-22 13:25:24| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 221125 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Thu Aug 22 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Gilma, located more than one thousand miles west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula. Well East-Southeast of the Hawaiian Islands (EP91/CP90): Shower and thunderstorm activity continues to show signs of organization with an area of low pressure located well east-southeast of the Hawaiian Islands. Only a slight improvement in organization could result in the formation of a tropical depression or tropical storm later today while it moves generally westward at 10 to 15 mph. This system is currently crossing into the Central Pacific basin, where it is then forecast to strengthen during the next couple of days and move near the Hawaiian Islands late this weekend or early next week. For marine forecasts, including gale warnings, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. Interests in Hawaii should closely monitor this disturbance, though it remains too soon to determine the exact location and magnitude of potential impacts. Now that the system is moving into the Central Pacific basin, all future information on this system will be found in the Tropical Weather Outlook for the Central Pacific Basin. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent. Central Portion of the East Pacific (EP92): A broad area of low pressure has formed several hundred miles to the south of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula and is currently producing an area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms primarily west of its center. Environmental conditions are forecast to be generally conducive for development over the next several days, and a tropical depression is likely to form during the next few days while the system moves west-northwestward at about 10 mph over the central portion of the East Pacific basin. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent. && High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.php The Tropical Weather Outlook for the Central Pacific basin can be found under AWIPS header HFOTWOCP and WMO header ACPN50 PHFO and on the web at hurricanes.gov $$ Forecaster Papin
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