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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2024-09-07 01:17:30| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 062317 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Fri Sep 6 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Offshore of Southwestern Mexico: An area of low pressure is forecast to form during the early to middle parts of next week, near or just to the south of the coast of southern or southwestern Mexico. Environmental conditions could support gradual development of this system thereafter while it moves generally northwestward, near the coast of southwestern Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster D. Zelinsky


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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2024-09-07 01:16:28| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

033 ABNT20 KNHC 062316 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Fri Sep 6 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Southwestern Gulf of Mexico: A tropical wave is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms over Belize, Guatemala, and the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico. The wave is forecast to move over the Bay of Campeche on Saturday, where it will begin to interact with a frontal boundary. A tropical depression could form during the early or middle part of next week while the system moves slowly northwestward over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent. Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic: An elongated trough of low pressure over the eastern and central tropical Atlantic is producing broad shower and thunderstorm activity. A more concentrated area of low pressure may form within this region during the next couple of days. Any development of this system should be slow to occur while the disturbance meanders through the early part of next week and then begins to move west-northwestward across the central tropical Atlantic during the middle to latter part of next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent. $$ Forecaster D. Zelinsky


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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2024-09-06 19:46:56| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 061746 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 200 PM EDT Fri Sep 6 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Northwestern Gulf of Mexico (AL90): Showers and thunderstorms associated with a low pressure system and weak frontal boundary over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico remain disorganized. The low is expected to be absorbed by the front and lose definition by tonight or on Saturday, and therefore tropical cyclone development is not expected. Regardless of development, heavy rainfall is expected to continue and possibly cause flash flooding across portions of the northern Gulf Coast during the next day or so. Additional information on this system can be found in products issued by your local National Weather Service Forecast Office and High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent. Northwestern Atlantic (AL99): An intensifying low pressure system located several hundred miles east of the U.S. Mid-Atlantic coast continues to take on a non-tropical structure and is now producing winds to storm force. Subtropical development of this system is not expected while it moves north-northeastward at 15 to 20 mph offshore the northeastern United States toward Atlantic Canada. Additional information on this system, including storm warnings, can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent. Southwestern Gulf of Mexico: A tropical wave located over Belize and the Yucatan Peninsula of Mexico is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. The wave is forecast to move into the Bay of Campeche on Saturday, where it could then begin to interact with a frontal boundary. A tropical depression could form during the early or middle part of next week while the system moves slowly northwestward over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent. Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic: An elongated trough of low pressure over the eastern tropical Atlantic is producing minimal shower and thunderstorm activity. Development, if any, should be slow to occur while the disturbance meanders through the early part of next week and then begins to move west-northwestward across the central tropical Atlantic during the middle to latter part of next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent. && High Seas Forecasts are issued by the National Weather Service under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php $$ Forecaster Berg


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