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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-10-02 13:44:22| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 021144 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Wed Oct 2 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Eleven-E, located near the coast of southeastern Mexico. Offshore of Southern Mexico (EP97): An area of low pressure is located a few hundred miles south-southeast of Acapulco, in close proximity to Tropical Depression Eleven-E. Recent microwave imagery and satellite-wind data suggests these two features have moved closer together and are interacting. Given their proximity, it is becoming increasingly possible that EP97 will merge with the tropical depression. Thus, this system's chances for tropical cyclone development are decreasing. However, if this system is able to survive, it is forecast to begin moving slowly west-northwestward later this week, parallel to the coast of Mexico when conditions could become more favorable for development. Regardless, this system is expected to add to heavy rainfall across portions of the southwestern coast of Mexico that were already adversely affected by substantial rainfall last week, and interests there should monitor the progress of this system along with Tropical Depression Eleven-E. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Eleven-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP1. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Eleven-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP1. $$ Forecaster Papin
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-10-02 13:34:53| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
000 ABNT20 KNHC 021134 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Wed Oct 2 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Kirk, located over the central tropical Atlantic Ocean. Northwestern Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico: A broad trough of low pressure is producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms from the southwestern Caribbean Sea into the southern Gulf of Mexico. Environmental conditions could support some gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression could form over the weekend as the broader disturbance moves fully into the Gulf of Mexico. Interests along the U.S. Gulf Coast should continue to monitor the progress of this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent. Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL91): Showers and thunderstorms continue to show signs of organization in association with an area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions appear conducive for further development of this system, and a tropical depression is expected to form during the next day or so while it moves slowly westward over the eastern tropical Atlantic. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...90 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...90 percent. $$ Forecaster Beven
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Tropical Depression Eleven-E Graphics
2024-10-02 13:33:01| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 02 Oct 2024 11:33:01 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 02 Oct 2024 09:28:33 GMT
Category: Transportation and Logistics