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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2024-10-05 01:47:03| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 042346 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Fri Oct 4 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Western Portion of the East Pacific (EP98): A low pressure system located well to the west-southwest of the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing limited and disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Atmospheric conditions are becoming less conducive and further development is not expected as the low moves slowly northward and northeastward over the weekend. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent. Offshore of Southwestern Mexico: An area of low pressure could form off the coast of southwestern Mexico during the weekend or early part of next week. Environmental conditions appear conducive for additional development of this system, and a tropical depression could form during the middle part of next week while the system drifts slowly northwestward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent. $$ Forecaster Bucci


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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2024-10-05 01:18:36| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 042318 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Fri Oct 4 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Kirk, located over the central subtropical Atlantic Ocean, and on Tropical Storm Leslie, located over the eastern tropical Atlantic Ocean. Gulf of Mexico: A broad area of low pressure located over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Gradual development of this system is expected, and a tropical or subtropical depression or storm is likely to form late this weekend or early next week while the system moves eastward or northeastward across the Gulf of Mexico. Interests in the Florida Peninsula and the Florida Keys should monitor the progress of this system. Regardless of tropical or subtropical development, locally heavy rains could occur over portions of Mexico during the next day or two, and over much of Florida late this weekend through the middle of next week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent. Far Eastern Tropical Atlantic: A tropical wave is expected to move off the west coast of Africa on Monday or Tuesday. Some development of this system is possible thereafter while it moves westward or west-northwestward across the eastern tropical Atlantic. Interests in the Cabo Verde Islands should monitor the progress of this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi/Bucci


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Hurricane Kirk Graphics

2024-10-04 22:49:25| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 04 Oct 2024 20:49:25 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 04 Oct 2024 20:49:26 GMT


Category: Transportation and Logistics

 

 

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