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Hurricane Beryl Public Advisory Number 6A
2024-06-30 07:44:51| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 200 AM AST Sun Jun 30 2024 000 WTNT32 KNHC 300544 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Hurricane Beryl Intermediate Advisory Number 6A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022024 200 AM AST Sun Jun 30 2024 ...BERYL GETTING STRONGER... ...EXPECTED TO BRING LIFE-THREATENING WINDS AND STORM SURGE TO THE WINDWARD ISLANDS AS A MAJOR HURRICANE... SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...10.5N 52.2W ABOUT 530 MI...850 KM ESE OF BARBADOS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...90 MPH...150 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...983 MB...29.03 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Hurricane Warning is in effect for... * Barbados * St. Lucia * St. Vincent and the Grenadine Islands * Grenada A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Martinique * Tobago A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * Dominica A Hurricane Warning means that hurricane conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area. Preparations to protect life and property should be rushed to completion. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, generally within 48 hours. Interests elsewhere in the Lesser Antilles should closely monitor the progress of Beryl. Additional watches and warnings may be required later today. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 200 AM AST (0600 UTC), the center of Hurricane Beryl was located near latitude 10.5 North, longitude 52.2 West. Beryl is moving quickly toward the west near 20 mph (31 km/h). A continued quick westward to west-northwestward motion is expected during the next few days. On the forecast track, the center of Beryl is expected to move across the Windward Islands early on Monday and across the southeastern Caribbean Sea on Monday night and Tuesday. Satellite estimates indicate that the maximum sustained winds have increased to near 90 mph (150 km/h) with higher gusts. Rapid strengthening is forecast over the next day or so, and Beryl is expected to become a dangerous major hurricane before it reaches the Windward Islands. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 983 mb (29.03 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Beryl can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header WTNT42 KNHC. WIND: Hurricane conditions are expected in the hurricane warning area beginning early on Monday. Devastating wind damage is expected where the eyewall of Beryl moves through portions of the Windward Islands. Tropical storm conditions are expected in the tropical storm warning area starting tonight, making outside preparations difficult or dangerous. Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area starting tonight. Wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and mountains are often up to 30 percent stronger than the near-surface winds indicated in this advisory, and in some elevated locations could be even greater. STORM SURGE: A life-threatening storm surge will raise water levels by as much as 5 to 7 feet above normal tide levels in areas of onshore flow near where Beryl makes landfall in the hurricane warning area. Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and destructive waves. RAINFALL: Hurricane Beryl is expected to produce rainfall totals of 3 to 6 inches across Barbados and the Windward Islands tonight into Monday. This rainfall may cause flooding in vulnerable areas. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding associated with Hurricane Beryl, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?rainqpf SURF: Swells generated by Beryl are expected to reach the Windward and southern Leeward Islands by this evening. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Blake
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Hurricane Beryl Graphics
2024-06-30 04:45:42| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 30 Jun 2024 02:45:42 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 30 Jun 2024 03:22:59 GMT
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Hurricane Beryl Wind Speed Probabilities Number 6
2024-06-30 04:40:11| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0300 UTC SUN JUN 30 2024 000 FONT12 KNHC 300239 PWSAT2 HURRICANE BERYL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022024 0300 UTC SUN JUN 30 2024 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BERYL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 51.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 75 KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT KEY WEST FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) MERIDA MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) COZUMEL MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) COZUMEL MX 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) COZUMEL MX 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) BELIZE CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) BELIZE CITY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) PUERTO BARRIOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) GUANAJA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 16(17) GUANAJA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) GUANAJA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) PUERTO CABEZAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) SAN ANDRES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) PT GALLINAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 3(15) X(15) PT GALLINAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) PT GALLINAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) CURACAO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) 1(16) X(16) CURACAO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) CURACAO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GRAND TURK 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) CP SAN ANTONIO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) CP SAN ANTONIO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) CP SAN ANTONIO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) ISLE OF PINES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 13(17) ISLE OF PINES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) ISLE OF PINES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) CIENFUEGOS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) CAMAGUEY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) GUANTANAMO BAY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 1( 9) GRAND CAYMAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 21(36) GRAND CAYMAN 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 9(13) GRAND CAYMAN 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) MONTEGO BAY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 36(37) 8(45) MONTEGO BAY 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 4(18) MONTEGO BAY 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) KINGSTON 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 46(48) 4(52) KINGSTON 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 21(21) 2(23) KINGSTON 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 1(11) LES CAYES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 18(24) X(24) LES CAYES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) X( 9) LES CAYES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) PORT-AU-PRINCE 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) 12(30) X(30) PORT-AU-PRINCE 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) X( 9) PORT-AU-PRINCE 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) CAPE BEATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 38(38) 8(46) X(46) CAPE BEATA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 4(18) X(18) CAPE BEATA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) PUERTO PLATA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 3(11) X(11) SANTO DOMINGO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 20(20) 2(22) X(22) SANTO DOMINGO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SANTO DOMINGO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) PONCE PR 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 13(15) X(15) X(15) AGUADILLA PR 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 12(13) X(13) X(13) SAN JUAN PR 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) VIEQUES PR 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) X(10) X(10) SAINT THOMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) X( 7) X( 7) SAINT CROIX 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 7(11) X(11) X(11) SAINT MAARTEN 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SABA 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) ST EUSTATIUS 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) BARBUDA 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ANTIGUA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) GUADELOUPE 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) AVES 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 23(25) 7(32) X(32) X(32) AVES 50 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) AVES 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) DOMINICA 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 14(19) 1(20) X(20) X(20) DOMINICA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MARTINIQUE 34 X X( X) 6( 6) 12(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) MARTINIQUE 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MARTINIQUE 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) SAINT LUCIA 34 X 1( 1) 37(38) 27(65) 1(66) X(66) X(66) SAINT LUCIA 50 X X( X) 9( 9) 17(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) SAINT LUCIA 64 X X( X) 3( 3) 10(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) SAINT VINCENT 34 X 1( 1) 56(57) 31(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) SAINT VINCENT 50 X X( X) 24(24) 37(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) SAINT VINCENT 64 X X( X) 9( 9) 29(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) BARBADOS 34 X 2( 2) 70(72) 2(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) BARBADOS 50 X X( X) 34(34) 1(35) X(35) X(35) X(35) BARBADOS 64 X X( X) 17(17) 1(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) GRENADA 34 X 1( 1) 34(35) 38(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) GRENADA 50 X X( X) 13(13) 34(47) 1(48) X(48) X(48) GRENADA 64 X X( X) 6( 6) 25(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) TRINIDADTOBAGO 34 X 1( 1) 38(39) 8(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) TRINIDADTOBAGO 50 X X( X) 16(16) 5(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) TRINIDADTOBAGO 64 X X( X) 7( 7) 4(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) PORT OF SPAIN 34 X X( X) 6( 6) 5(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) PORT OF SPAIN 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PORT OF SPAIN 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) JUANGRIEGO 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) 3(16) X(16) X(16) JUANGRIEGO 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) JUANGRIEGO 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) $$ FORECASTER PAPIN
Category: Transportation and Logistics