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Hurricane Beryl Wind Speed Probabilities Number 21
2024-07-03 22:43:33| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC WED JUL 03 2024 000 FONT12 KNHC 032043 PWSAT2 HURRICANE BERYL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 21 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022024 2100 UTC WED JUL 03 2024 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BERYL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 120 KTS...140 MPH...220 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT GFMX 280N 930W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) CAMERON LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) GALVESTON TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) SAN ANTONIO TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) FREEPORT TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) GFMX 280N 950W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 4(10) MATAGORDA TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 5( 9) PORT O CONNOR 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 6(11) ROCKPORT TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) CORPUS CHRISTI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) GFMX 270N 960W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 7(18) GFMX 270N 960W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) GFMX 270N 960W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) MCALLEN TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) HARLINGEN TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 7(12) BROWNSVILLE TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 6(12) GFMX 250N 960W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 22(27) 7(34) GFMX 250N 960W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9) GFMX 250N 960W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) LA PESCA MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 6(15) TAMPICO MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 3(11) TUXPAN MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 2( 7) VERACRUZ MX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 1( 8) FRONTERA MX 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) MERIDA MX 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 23(27) 7(34) X(34) X(34) MERIDA MX 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) COZUMEL MX 34 X 5( 5) 61(66) 7(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) COZUMEL MX 50 X X( X) 19(19) 7(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) COZUMEL MX 64 X X( X) 6( 6) 4(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) BELIZE CITY 34 X 2( 2) 10(12) 6(18) X(18) 1(19) X(19) BELIZE CITY 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) PUERTO BARRIOS 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) GUANAJA 34 X 3( 3) 5( 8) 1( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) CP SAN ANTONIO 34 X 6( 6) 12(18) 1(19) 1(20) X(20) X(20) HAVANA 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ISLE OF PINES 34 2 10(12) 2(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) CIENFUEGOS 34 2 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) GRAND CAYMAN 34 63 34(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) GRAND CAYMAN 50 3 42(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) GRAND CAYMAN 64 1 12(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) MONTEGO BAY 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MONTEGO BAY 50 34 X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) KINGSTON 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) KINGSTON 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Hurricane Beryl Forecast Advisory Number 21
2024-07-03 22:43:09| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC WED JUL 03 2024 000 WTNT22 KNHC 032042 TCMAT2 HURRICANE BERYL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022024 2100 UTC WED JUL 03 2024 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 77.6W AT 03/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 17 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 959 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT. 64 KT....... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT....... 70NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT.......160NE 80SE 50SW 110NW. 12 FT SEAS..270NE 240SE 120SW 150NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 77.6W AT 03/2100Z AT 03/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 76.8W FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 18.1N 80.3W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 70NE 50SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...150NE 80SE 50SW 110NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 18.7N 83.7W MAX WIND 95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 25SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 60NE 40SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...140NE 70SE 50SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 19.2N 86.7W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 64 KT... 25NE 20SE 15SW 25NW. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...130NE 70SE 40SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 19.9N 89.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 35NE 25SE 20SW 25NW. 34 KT...120NE 60SE 40SW 100NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 20.9N 91.8W...OVER WATER MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...100NE 50SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 21.9N 93.9W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT...100NE 60SE 50SW 90NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 24.0N 96.9W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 60SE 50SW 90NW. OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 26.0N 98.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 60SE 40SW 40NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.5N 77.6W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 04/0000Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BEVEN
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Summary for Hurricane Beryl (AT2/AL022024)
2024-07-03 22:42:59| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...EYEWALL OF BERYL BRUSHING THE SOUTH COAST OF JAMAICA WITH HURRICANE CONDITIONS OCCURRING... ...THE HURRICANE IS EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE CAYMAN ISLANDS TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY AND THE YUCATAN PENINSULA THURSDAY NIGHT... As of 5:00 PM EDT Wed Jul 3 the center of Beryl was located near 17.5, -77.6 with movement WNW at 20 mph. The minimum central pressure was 959 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 140 mph.
Category: Transportation and Logistics