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Hurricane EARL Wind Speed Probabilities Number 6
2016-08-03 22:31:40| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC WED AUG 03 2016 000 FONT15 KNHC 032031 PWSAT5 TROPICAL STORM EARL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052016 2100 UTC WED AUG 03 2016 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM EARL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT TUXPAN MX 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) VERACRUZ MX 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 6(11) X(11) X(11) FRONTERA MX 34 1 3( 4) 24(28) 5(33) X(33) X(33) X(33) FRONTERA MX 50 X X( X) 10(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) FRONTERA MX 64 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MERIDA MX 34 3 4( 7) 2( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) COZUMEL MX 34 7 3(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) BELIZE CITY 34 80 9(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) BELIZE CITY 50 33 26(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) BELIZE CITY 64 8 9(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) PUERTO BARRIOS 34 4 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) GUANAJA 34 94 X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) GUANAJA 50 22 X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) $$ FORECASTER AVILA
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earl
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