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Hurricane John Wind Speed Probabilities Number 6
2024-09-23 22:48:30| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC MON SEP 23 2024 000 FOPZ15 KNHC 232048 PWSEP5 HURRICANE JOHN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102024 2100 UTC MON SEP 23 2024 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JOHN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 98.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 85 KTS ...100 MPH...155 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ZIHUATANEJO 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 15N 100W 34 1 3( 4) 5( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) ACAPULCO 34 2 11(13) 4(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) ACAPULCO 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ACAPULCO 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) P MALDONADO 34 88 5(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) X(93) P MALDONADO 50 49 18(67) 1(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) P MALDONADO 64 16 19(35) 3(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) P ANGEL 34 1 6( 7) 4(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) HUATULCO 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 15N 95W 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER HAGEN
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Hurricane John Forecast Advisory Number 6
2024-09-23 22:48:00| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 2100 UTC MON SEP 23 2024 000 WTPZ25 KNHC 232047 TCMEP5 HURRICANE JOHN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102024 2100 UTC MON SEP 23 2024 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 98.5W AT 23/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 0 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 973 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT. 64 KT....... 10NE 10SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT....... 20NE 20SE 15SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 45NE 75SE 75SW 45NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 98.5W AT 23/2100Z AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 98.4W FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 16.0N 98.3W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 10NE 10SE 10SW 10NW. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 50NE 60SE 60SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 16.5N 98.3W...INLAND MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 0NE 10SE 10SW 0NW. 50 KT... 15NE 20SE 20SW 15NW. 34 KT... 30NE 60SE 80SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 16.7N 98.4W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.5N 98.5W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT35 KNHC/MIATCPEP5...AT 24/0000Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z $$ FORECASTER HAGEN
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Hurricane John Graphics
2024-09-23 20:05:05| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 23 Sep 2024 18:05:05 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 23 Sep 2024 18:05:05 GMT
Category: Transportation and Logistics