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Hurricane Kirk Public Advisory Number 16
2024-10-03 10:38:20| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 AM AST Thu Oct 03 2024 000 WTNT32 KNHC 030838 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Hurricane Kirk Advisory Number 16 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122024 500 AM AST Thu Oct 03 2024 ...KIRK FORECAST TO STRENGTHEN WHILE MOVING NORTHWESTWARD OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC... ...LARGE SWELLS COULD REACH THE U.S. EAST COAST BY SUNDAY... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...20.0N 45.0W ABOUT 1185 MI...1910 KM E OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS ABOUT 1645 MI...2645 KM SW OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...120 MPH...195 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...955 MB...28.20 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Kirk was located near latitude 20.0 North, longitude 45.0 West. Kirk is moving toward the northwest near 10 mph (17 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue through early Friday. A turn toward the north and north-northeast at a faster forward speed is forecast over the weekend. Maximum sustained winds are near 120 mph (195 km/h) with higher gusts. Kirk is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Some strengthening is forecast during the next day or so. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185 miles (295 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 955 mb (28.20 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- SURF: Swells generated by Kirk are spreading westward and are expected to reach portions of the Leeward Islands on Friday, Bermuda and the Greater Antilles on Saturday, and the east coast of the United States and the Bahamas on Sunday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Berg
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Hurricane Kirk Forecast Advisory Number 16
2024-10-03 10:37:50| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC THU OCT 03 2024 000 WTNT22 KNHC 030837 TCMAT2 HURRICANE KIRK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122024 0900 UTC THU OCT 03 2024 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 45.0W AT 03/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 15 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 955 MB EYE DIAMETER 20 NM MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT. 64 KT....... 30NE 25SE 15SW 20NW. 50 KT....... 60NE 50SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT.......160NE 150SE 80SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..360NE 300SE 240SW 300NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.0N 45.0W AT 03/0900Z AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.6N 44.7W FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 20.8N 46.2W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...170NE 160SE 90SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 22.1N 47.7W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 50 KT... 80NE 80SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...180NE 160SE 100SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 23.5N 49.1W MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT. 64 KT... 60NE 50SE 35SW 50NW. 50 KT... 90NE 100SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...180NE 170SE 100SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 25.4N 50.1W MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT. 64 KT... 70NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. 50 KT...110NE 110SE 60SW 80NW. 34 KT...190NE 180SE 110SW 160NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 28.0N 50.3W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 50 KT...120NE 120SE 70SW 90NW. 34 KT...200NE 200SE 120SW 170NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 31.3N 49.3W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT...130NE 120SE 80SW 100NW. 34 KT...210NE 230SE 150SW 170NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 38.5N 42.5W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT...130NE 140SE 120SW 100NW. 34 KT...240NE 280SE 220SW 170NW. OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 44.7N 30.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT...120NE 150SE 140SW 100NW. 34 KT...300NE 300SE 240SW 260NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.0N 45.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/1500Z $$ FORECASTER BERG
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Tropical Depression Eleven-E Graphics
2024-10-03 08:00:33| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 03 Oct 2024 06:00:33 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 03 Oct 2024 03:34:49 GMT
Category: Transportation and Logistics