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Hurricane Leslie Public Advisory Number 11

2024-10-05 04:37:38| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 1100 PM AST Fri Oct 04 2024 000 WTNT33 KNHC 050237 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Hurricane Leslie Advisory Number 11 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132024 1100 PM AST Fri Oct 04 2024 ...LESLIE BECOMES A HURRICANE... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...10.4N 34.2W ABOUT 725 MI...1170 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CABO VERDE ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Leslie was located near latitude 10.4 North, longitude 34.2 West. Leslie is moving toward the west-northwest near 7 mph (11 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue through Saturday. A turn toward the northwest and an increase in forward speed are expected by Saturday evening or Sunday. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual strengthening is forecast through Sunday followed by gradual weakening on Monday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 10 miles (20 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 989 mb (29.21 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Bucci


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Hurricane Leslie Forecast Advisory Number 11

2024-10-05 04:37:08| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0300 UTC SAT OCT 05 2024 000 WTNT23 KNHC 050236 TCMAT3 HURRICANE LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132024 0300 UTC SAT OCT 05 2024 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.4N 34.2W AT 05/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 989 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT. 64 KT....... 10NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT....... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT....... 50NE 40SE 50SW 60NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 90NE 60SE 60SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 10.4N 34.2W AT 05/0300Z AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 10.3N 33.9W FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 10.8N 35.2W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 50SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 11.6N 36.4W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 64 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT... 20NE 10SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT... 70NE 40SE 50SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 12.7N 37.6W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 10SE 0SW 15NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 50SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 14.1N 38.9W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 10SE 10SW 15NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 15.4N 40.6W MAX WIND 75 KT...GUSTS 90 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 70SE 50SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 16.9N 42.4W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 70SE 50SW 70NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 19.5N 45.9W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT... 90NE 70SE 60SW 70NW. OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 21.8N 48.7W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...100NE 80SE 70SW 80NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 10.4N 34.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z $$ FORECASTER BUCCI


Category: Transportation and Logistics

 

 

Hurricane Kirk Graphics

2024-10-05 04:36:57| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sat, 05 Oct 2024 02:36:57 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 05 Oct 2024 03:23:06 GMT


Category: Transportation and Logistics

 

 

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