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Hurricane Leslie Public Advisory Number 14
2024-10-05 22:46:31| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 500 PM AST Sat Oct 05 2024 000 WTNT33 KNHC 052046 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Hurricane Leslie Advisory Number 14 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132024 500 PM AST Sat Oct 05 2024 ...LESLIE HOLDING STEADY... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...11.6N 36.0W ABOUT 810 MI...1305 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CABO VERDE ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...80 MPH...130 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...985 MB...29.09 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Leslie was located near latitude 11.6 North, longitude 36.0 West. Leslie is moving toward the west-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h). A northwestward motion with an increase in forward speed is forecast to begin by tonight and continue through Tuesday. Maximum sustained winds are near 80 mph (130 km/h) with higher gusts. A gradual weakening trend is forecast to begin on Sunday. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 985 mb (29.09 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Kelly
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Hurricane Leslie Forecast Advisory Number 14
2024-10-05 22:46:02| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC SAT OCT 05 2024 129 WTNT23 KNHC 052045 TCMAT3 HURRICANE LESLIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132024 2100 UTC SAT OCT 05 2024 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 36.0W AT 05/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 985 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. 64 KT....... 15NE 0SE 0SW 15NW. 50 KT....... 30NE 20SE 10SW 30NW. 34 KT....... 90NE 40SE 40SW 80NW. 12 FT SEAS..120NE 60SE 75SW 120NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 36.0W AT 05/2100Z AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.4N 35.7W FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 12.3N 36.8W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 15NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 40SE 40SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 13.4N 38.0W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 0SE 0SW 15NW. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 10SW 30NW. 34 KT... 80NE 40SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 14.7N 39.6W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 64 KT... 10NE 0SE 0SW 10NW. 50 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT... 80NE 30SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 16.0N 41.3W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 30SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 17.3N 43.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 30SE 40SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 18.7N 45.0W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 60NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 21.0N 48.3W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 10SE 10SW 20NW. 34 KT... 60NE 40SE 40SW 50NW. OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 22.9N 51.0W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 55NE 50SE 40SW 50NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.6N 36.0W NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z $$ FORECASTER KELLY
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Tropical Storm Milton Forecast Advisory Number 2
2024-10-05 22:46:02| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC SAT OCT 05 2024 128 WTNT24 KNHC 052045 TCMAT4 TROPICAL STORM MILTON FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142024 2100 UTC SAT OCT 05 2024 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 95.5W AT 05/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 20 DEGREES AT 3 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 20NE 30SE 30SW 20NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 0NE 30SE 30SW 0NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.7N 95.5W AT 05/2100Z AT 05/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.5N 95.5W FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 22.9N 95.0W MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 23.0N 94.1W MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 23.0N 92.8W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 64 KT... 15NE 15SE 15SW 0NW. 50 KT... 20NE 30SE 30SW 20NW. 34 KT... 70NE 70SE 60SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 23.1N 91.2W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 15NW. 50 KT... 40NE 40SE 40SW 30NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 80SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 23.8N 89.3W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 100SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 24.8N 87.2W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 50SE 50SW 40NW. 34 KT...140NE 120SE 120SW 120NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 27.7N 83.0W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 50 KT... 60NE 40SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...150NE 140SE 120SW 140NW. OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 30.4N 77.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 80NE 60SE 80SW 80NW. 34 KT...220NE 180SE 180SW 190NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.7N 95.5W NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/0300Z $$ FORECASTER BROWN
Category: Transportation and Logistics