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Potential Tropical Cyclone Eighteen Forecast Advisory Number 1
2024-11-03 21:53:03| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 2100 UTC SUN NOV 03 2024 000 WTNT23 KNHC 032052 TCMAT3 POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE EIGHTEEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL182024 2100 UTC SUN NOV 03 2024 POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 77.1W AT 03/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 6 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 77.1W AT 03/2100Z AT 03/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 77.1W FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 14.3N 77.1W...TROPICAL CYCLONE MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 16.0N 77.7W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 17.7N 78.6W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 30SW 60NW. FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 19.6N 80.4W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 0SW 20NW. 34 KT...100NE 90SE 30SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 21.5N 82.6W MAX WIND 70 KT...GUSTS 85 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 20SE 20SW 20NW. 34 KT...110NE 90SE 40SW 70NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 23.3N 84.5W MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 40SW 80NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 07/1800Z 25.4N 86.6W MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 40SW 90NW. OUTLOOK VALID 08/1800Z 26.9N 88.6W MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 40NW. 34 KT...120NE 100SE 50SW 100NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.0N 77.1W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT33 KNHC/MIATCPAT3...AT 04/0000Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0300Z $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Subtropical Storm Patty Forecast Discussion Number 7
2024-11-03 21:32:33| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 900 PM GMT Sun Nov 03 2024 000 WTNT42 KNHC 032032 TCDAT2 Subtropical Storm Patty Discussion Number 7 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172024 900 PM GMT Sun Nov 03 2024 After being devoid of deep convection for much of the day, thunderstorms have reformed near the center of Patty. Therefore, Patty will hold its subtropical storm designation for now. The initial intensity is held at 40 kt in deference to the earlier scatterometer data. However, strong vertical wind shear, dry mid-latitude air, and cool sea surface temperatures should weaken Patty during the next couple of days. No changes have been made to the latest NHC intensity forecast. The storm is moving eastward at 15 kt and is forecast to move eastward to east-northeastward for the next couple of days. Patty is still expected to open into a trough near or over western Europe, and only minor adjustments have been made to the official track forecast. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 03/2100Z 37.3N 22.3W 40 KT 45 MPH 12H 04/0600Z 37.7N 19.0W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 24H 04/1800Z 38.9N 14.8W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 05/0600Z 40.2N 11.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 05/1800Z 41.2N 8.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 60H 06/0600Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Bucci
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Summary for Subtropical Storm Patty (AT2/AL172024)
2024-11-03 21:32:02| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...PATTY EXPECTED TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE SOON... As of 9:00 PM GMT Sun Nov 3 the center of Patty was located near 37.3, -22.3 with movement E at 17 mph. The minimum central pressure was 990 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.
Category: Transportation and Logistics