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Remnants of Leslie Wind Speed Probabilities Number 41
2024-10-12 16:41:27| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 1500 UTC SAT OCT 12 2024 000 FONT13 KNHC 121441 PWSAT3 REMNANTS OF LESLIE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 41 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132024 1500 UTC SAT OCT 12 2024 AT 1500Z THE REMNANTS OF LESLIE WERE LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 43.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS ...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER D. ZELINSKY
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Summary for Remnants of Leslie (AT3/AL132024)
2024-10-12 16:40:57| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
...LESLIE DEGENERATES INTO A TROUGH... ...THIS IS THE LAST NHC ADVISORY... As of 3:00 PM GMT Sat Oct 12 the center of Leslie was located near 33.3, -43.4 with movement NE at 31 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1000 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Remnants of Leslie Public Advisory Number 41
2024-10-12 16:40:57| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 300 PM GMT Sat Oct 12 2024 000 WTNT33 KNHC 121440 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Remnants Of Leslie Advisory Number 41 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132024 300 PM GMT Sat Oct 12 2024 ...LESLIE DEGENERATES INTO A TROUGH... ...THIS IS THE LAST NHC ADVISORY... SUMMARY OF 300 PM GMT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...33.3N 43.4W ABOUT 975 MI...1570 KM WSW OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 31 MPH...50 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 300 PM GMT (1500 UTC), the remnants of Leslie were located near latitude 33.3 North, longitude 43.4 West. The remnants are moving quickly toward the northeast near 31 mph (50 km/h). A gradual turn toward the east at a fast forward speed is expected starting tonight, with a continued eastward motion expected into early next week. The remnants of Leslie are expected to move over or very near the Azores Sunday and early Monday. Recent satellite-derived wind data indicate that Leslie has degenerated into a trough, but maximum sustained winds remain near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. The remnants of Leslie are expected to gradually weaken during the next couple of days. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php $$ Forecaster D. Zelinsky
Category: Transportation and Logistics