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Subtropical Storm Patty Public Advisory Number 4

2024-11-03 03:32:13| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 300 AM GMT Sun Nov 03 2024 062 WTNT32 KNHC 030232 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Subtropical Storm Patty Advisory Number 4 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172024 300 AM GMT Sun Nov 03 2024 ...PATTY CONTINUING TO PASS NEAR THE AZORES... ...EXPECTED TO BRING TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ACROSS THE AZORES THROUGH THE WEEKEND... SUMMARY OF 300 AM GMT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...37.9N 27.8W ABOUT 75 MI...115 KM SSW OF LAJES IN THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 95 DEGREES AT 20 MPH...31 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...985 MB...29.09 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * All of the Azores A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case through the weekend. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 300 AM GMT (0300 UTC), the center of Subtropical Storm Patty was located near latitude 37.9 North, longitude 27.8 West. The storm is moving toward the east near 20 mph (31 km/h), and an eastward to east-northeastward motion is expected during the next couple of days. On the forecast track, the center of Patty is expected to move near or just south of the Azores through the overnight period. Maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is expected during the next few days. Patty is forecast to become a post-tropical low late this weekend or Monday. Winds of 40 mph extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km) mainly to the southwest of the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 985 mb (29.09 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in the Azores through the weekend. For more information, see products issued by the meteorological service in the Azores. RAINFALL: RAINFALL: Patty is expected to produce rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches (25 to 50 millimeters) with local amounts to 4 inches (100 mm) across the Azores through early Monday. SURF: Swells generated by Patty will affect the Azores over the next day or two. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next intermediate advisory at 600 AM GMT. Next complete advisory at 900 AM GMT. $$ Forecaster Beven


Category:Transportation and Logistics

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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2024-11-03 00:37:08| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 022337 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 PM PDT Sat Nov 2 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Storm Lane, located over the western portion of the eastern Pacific basin. Southwest of Southwestern Mexico (EP93): Recent visible satellite imagery indicates that the area of low pressure located well offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico has a well-defined circulation, although shower and thunderstorm activity is currently limited and disorganized. Environmental conditions appear marginally conducive for some additional development of this system, and a tropical depression could form over the next several days as the system continues to move slowly. The low is expected to begin an eastward drift by the early to middle part of the upcoming week. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent. $$ Forecaster Papin


Category: Transportation and Logistics

 

 

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2024-11-03 00:37:07| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 022337 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 PM EDT Sat Nov 2 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Subtropical Storm Patty, located over the northeastern Atlantic Ocean near the Azores Islands. Southwestern Caribbean Sea (AL97): Shower activity associated with a broad area of low pressure over the southwestern Caribbean Sea remains disorganized at this time. Gradual development of this system is still expected, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the next couple of days while it moves generally northward to northwestward over the central and western Caribbean Sea. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains are possible over portions of the adjacent land areas of the western Caribbean, including Jamaica, Hispaniola, and Cuba. Interests in the western Caribbean Sea should monitor the progress of this system. An Air Force Hurricane Hunter aircraft is scheduled to investigate this system on Sunday. * Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent. Near the Greater Antilles: A trough of low pressure just north of Puerto Rico and Hispaniola continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms, and gusty winds. Slow development of this system is possible during the day or two while it moves westward near the Greater Antilles. By early next week, this system is expected to be absorbed into the low pressure area over the Caribbean Sea. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains are possible during the next couple of days across the northern Leeward Islands, Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, eastern Cuba and the southeastern Bahamas. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent. && Public Advisories on Subtropical Storm Patty are issued under WMO header WTNT32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT2. Forecast/Advisories on Subtropical Storm Patty are issued under WMO header WTNT22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT2. $$ Forecaster Beven


Category: Transportation and Logistics

 

 

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