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Subtropical Storm Patty Wind Speed Probabilities Number 1

2024-11-02 09:55:27| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 0900 UTC SAT NOV 02 2024 000 FONT12 KNHC 020855 PWSAT2 SUBTROPICAL STORM PATTY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL172024 0900 UTC SAT NOV 02 2024 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM PATTY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 39.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 34.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT SANTA CRUZ AZO 34 46 16(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) SANTA CRUZ AZO 50 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) PONTA DELGADA 34 X 12(12) 28(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) PONTA DELGADA 50 X 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER REINHART


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Summary for Subtropical Storm Patty (AT2/AL172024)

2024-11-02 09:54:56| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...SUBTROPICAL STORM PATTY FORMS OVER THE NORTHERN ATLANTIC... ...EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR OR OVER THE AZORES THIS WEEKEND... As of 9:00 AM GMT Sat Nov 2 the center of Patty was located near 39.9, -34.4 with movement ESE at 7 mph. The minimum central pressure was 986 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.


Category: Transportation and Logistics

 

 

Subtropical Storm Patty Public Advisory Number 1

2024-11-02 09:54:56| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

Issued at 900 AM GMT Sat Nov 02 2024 000 WTNT32 KNHC 020854 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Subtropical Storm Patty Advisory Number 1 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL172024 900 AM GMT Sat Nov 02 2024 ...SUBTROPICAL STORM PATTY FORMS OVER THE NORTHERN ATLANTIC... ...EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR OR OVER THE AZORES THIS WEEKEND... SUMMARY OF 900 AM GMT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...39.9N 34.4W ABOUT 420 MI...675 KM WNW OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ESE OR 105 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB...29.12 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 900 AM GMT (0900 UTC), the center of Subtropical Storm Patty was located near latitude 39.9 North, longitude 34.4 West. The storm is moving toward the east-southeast near 7 mph (11 km/h). A faster east-southeastward motion is expected through tonight, followed by a turn toward the east and east-northeast on Sunday and Monday. Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Little intensity change is expected today, but gradual weakening is forecast through early next week. Patty could degenerate into a post-tropical cyclone by late Sunday. Winds of 40 mph extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 986 mb (29.12 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible in portions of the Azores this weekend. See products issued by the meteorological service in the Azores for more information. RAINFALL: Patty is expected to produce rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches, or 25 to 50 millimeters, across the Azores through Sunday. SURF: Swells generated by Patty will affect the Azores over the next couple of days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 PM GMT. $$ Forecaster Reinhart


Category: Transportation and Logistics

 

 

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