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Summary for Subtropical Storm Patty (AT2/AL172024)

2024-11-02 13:09:17| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

...SUBTROPICAL STORM PATTY FORMS OVER THE NORTHERN ATLANTIC... ...EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR OR OVER THE AZORES THIS WEEKEND... As of 9:00 AM GMT Sat Nov 2 the center of Patty was located near 39.9, -34.4 with movement ESE at 7 mph. The minimum central pressure was 986 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.


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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

2024-11-02 12:29:01| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)

000 ABNT20 KNHC 021128 TWOAT Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 800 AM EDT Sat Nov 2 2024 For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on newly formed Subtropical Storm Patty, located over the northeastern Atlantic Ocean. Southwestern Caribbean Sea: Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the southwestern Caribbean Sea are associated with a broad area of low pressure. Gradual development of this system is expected, and a tropical depression is likely to form within the next few days while the system moves generally northward to northwestward over the central and western Caribbean Sea. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains are possible over portions of the adjacent land areas of the western Caribbean, including Jamaica, Hispaniola, and Cuba. Interests in the western Caribbean Sea should monitor the progress of this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent. Near the Greater Antilles: A large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms, and gusty winds extending from near Puerto Rico and Hispaniola northeastward for a few hundred miles are associated with a trough of low pressure. Slow development of this system is possible during the next couple of days while it moves west-northwestward near the Greater Antilles. By early next week, this system is expected to be absorbed into the low pressure area over the Caribbean Sea. Regardless of development, locally heavy rains are possible during the next few days across the northern Leeward Islands, Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, eastern Cuba and the southeastern Bahamas. For more information on this system, including gale warnings, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent. && Public Advisories on Subtropical Storm Patty are issued under WMO header WTNT32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT2. Forecast/Advisories on Subtropical Storm Patty are issued under WMO header WTNT22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT2. High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php $$ Forecaster Cangialosi


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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook

2024-11-02 12:26:02| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

000 ABPZ20 KNHC 021125 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 500 AM PDT Sat Nov 2 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: Active Systems: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently upgraded Tropical Storm Lane, located over the western portion of the eastern Pacific basin. Southwest of Southwestern Mexico: A broad area of low pressure offshore of the southwestern coast of Mexico is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some further development of this system is possible over the next few days and a tropical depression could form during the early to middle part of next week while the system drifts generally eastward to east-northeastward. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Lane are issued under WMO header WTPZ33 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP3. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Lane are issued under WMO header WTPZ23 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP3. $$ Forecaster Kelly


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