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Tropical Depression Eleven-E Graphics

2024-10-03 19:33:30| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Thu, 03 Oct 2024 17:33:30 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 03 Oct 2024 15:34:50 GMT


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Summary for Tropical Depression Eleven-E (EP1/EP112024)

2024-10-03 19:32:57| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

...SATELLITE DATA INDICATES THE DEPRESSION IS LESS ORGANIZED... ...CONTINUED HEAVY RAINS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES IN PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MEXICO... As of 12:00 PM CST Thu Oct 3 the center of Eleven-E was located near 15.6, -95.1 with movement NE at 7 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1004 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.


Category: Transportation and Logistics

 

 

Tropical Depression Eleven-E Public Advisory Number 8A

2024-10-03 19:32:57| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)

Issued at 1200 PM CST Thu Oct 03 2024 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 031732 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Eleven-E Intermediate Advisory Number 8A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP112024 1200 PM CST Thu Oct 03 2024 ...SATELLITE DATA INDICATES THE DEPRESSION IS LESS ORGANIZED... ...CONTINUED HEAVY RAINS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE FLOODING AND MUDSLIDES IN PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MEXICO... SUMMARY OF 1200 PM CST...1800 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.6N 95.1W ABOUT 95 MI...155 KM E OF PUERTO ANGEL MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: The Government of Mexico has discontinued the Tropical Storm Warning west of Puerto Angel. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * Puerto Angel to Boca de Pijijiapan A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the next 24 hours. Interests elsewhere in southeastern Mexico should monitor the progress of this system. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1200 PM CST (1800 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Eleven-E was located near latitude 15.6 North, longitude 95.1 West. The depression is moving toward the northeast near 7 mph (11 km/h), and a northeastward to northward motion is forecast through Friday. On the forecast track, the system is expected to move toward southern Mexico and make landfall within the warning area tonight or early Friday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Slight strengthening is possible, and the system could be a tropical storm when it reaches the coast of Mexico. Weakening is expected after landfall, and the system is forecast to dissipate on Saturday. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Tropical Depression Eleven-E can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP1 and WMO header WTPZ41 KNHC. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected within portions of the warning area beginning later today and continuing into early Friday. RAINFALL: Tropical Depression Eleven-E is expected to produce an additional 3 to 6 inches of rainfall, with localized amounts up to 8 inches, across portions of the Mexican states of Chiapas, Oaxaca, Veracruz Tabasco and coastal Guerrero. This rainfall may lead to areas of flooding and mudslides. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with Tropical Depression Eleven-E, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep1.shtml?rainqpf STORM SURGE: Minor coastal flooding from storm surge is possible in areas of onshore flow. SURF: Swells generated by the depression are affecting portions of the coast of southern and southeastern Mexico. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 PM CST. $$ Forecaster Beven


Category: Transportation and Logistics

 

 

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