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Tropical Depression Eleven-E Public Advisory Number 2A
2024-10-02 07:41:47| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 1200 AM CST Wed Oct 02 2024 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 020541 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Eleven-E Intermediate Advisory Number 2A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP112024 1200 AM CST Wed Oct 02 2024 ...DEPRESSION LIKELY TO BRING HEAVY RAINFALL OVER PORTIONS OF WESTERN GUATEMALA AND SOUTHEASTERN MEXICO DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS... SUMMARY OF 1200 AM CST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...15.7N 94.7W ABOUT 50 MI...75 KM SE OF SALINA CRUZ MEXICO MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * East of Puerto Angel to Boca de Pijijiapan A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for... * East of Boca de Pijijiapan to the Mexico/Guatemala Border A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within 24 hours. A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch area, in this case within 36 hours. Interests elsewhere in southeastern Mexico should monitor the progress of this system. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 1200 AM CST (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Eleven-E was located near latitude 15.7 North, longitude 94.7 West. The depression is moving toward the north near 6 mph (9 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue during the next day or two. On the forecast track, the depression will likely move inland later today. Maximum sustained winds remain near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Some slow strengthening is possible before the system reaches the coast, and it could become a tropical storm this morning. Weakening is expected after landfall. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Tropical Depression Eleven-E can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDEP1 and WMO header WTPZ41 KNHC. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to begin in the warning later this morning and are possible in the watch area this afternoon. RAINFALL: Tropical Depression Eleven-E is expected to produce 4 to 8 inches of rainfall, with localized amounts up to 12 inches, across portions of western Guatemala and the Mexican states of Chiapas, Oaxaca, Veracruz, and Tabasco. This rainfall may lead to areas of flooding and mudslides. For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with this system, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_ep1.shtml?rainqpf SURF: Swells generated by the depression are affecting portions of the coast of southern and southeastern Mexico. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 AM CST. $$ Forecaster Pasch
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Tropical Depression Eleven-E Graphics
2024-10-02 07:41:41| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 02 Oct 2024 05:41:41 GMT Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 02 Oct 2024 03:28:40 GMT
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Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
2024-10-02 07:22:49| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
000 ABPZ20 KNHC 020522 TWOEP Tropical Weather Outlook NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1100 PM PDT Tue Oct 1 2024 For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude: The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical Depression Eleven-E, located near the coast of southeastern Mexico. Offshore of Southern Mexico (EP97): An area of low pressure located a few hundred miles south-southeast of Acapulco, Mexico continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. While environmental conditions are generally conducive for development, the close proximity of Tropical Depression Eleven-E could limit development during the next day or two. Late this week, the system is forecast to begin moving slowly west-northwestward, parallel to the coast of Mexico, and gradual development seems likely. This system is expected to add to heavy rainfall across portions of the southwestern coast of Mexico that were already adversely affected by substantial rainfall last week, and interests there should monitor the progress of this system. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent. && Public Advisories on Tropical Depression Eleven-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPEP1. Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Depression Eleven-E are issued under WMO header WTPZ21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMEP1. $$ Forecaster Pasch
Category: Transportation and Logistics