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Tropical Depression Eleven-E Wind Speed Probabilities Number 3
2024-10-02 10:44:49| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC WED OCT 02 2024 000 FOPZ11 KNHC 020844 PWSEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112024 0900 UTC WED OCT 02 2024 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT P MALDONADO 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) P ANGEL 34 16 12(28) 3(31) 1(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) P ANGEL 50 1 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) HUATULCO 34 2 4( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 15N 95W 34 5 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) $$ FORECASTER PASCH
Category:Transportation and Logistics
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Hurricane Kirk Forecast Advisory Number 11
2024-10-02 10:43:49| National Hurricane Center (Atlantic)
Issued at 0900 UTC WED OCT 02 2024 000 WTNT22 KNHC 020843 TCMAT2 HURRICANE KIRK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122024 0900 UTC WED OCT 02 2024 HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 42.1W AT 02/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 12 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 984 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 70 KT WITH GUSTS TO 85 KT. 64 KT....... 25NE 0SE 0SW 0NW. 50 KT....... 60NE 40SE 0SW 40NW. 34 KT.......170NE 170SE 70SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..270NE 270SE 90SW 210NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 42.1W AT 02/0900Z AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 41.7W FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 18.4N 43.3W MAX WIND 80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT. 64 KT... 30NE 15SE 0SW 20NW. 50 KT... 60NE 50SE 20SW 40NW. 34 KT...170NE 170SE 80SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 19.5N 44.6W MAX WIND 90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT. 64 KT... 35NE 20SE 15SW 25NW. 50 KT... 70NE 60SE 30SW 50NW. 34 KT...170NE 170SE 80SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 20.7N 46.1W MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT. 64 KT... 40NE 30SE 20SW 30NW. 50 KT... 80NE 70SE 40SW 60NW. 34 KT...170NE 170SE 90SW 130NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 21.9N 47.6W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 64 KT... 50NE 40SE 25SW 40NW. 50 KT... 90NE 80SE 50SW 70NW. 34 KT...170NE 170SE 100SW 140NW. FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 23.4N 49.0W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 50 KT...100NE 90SE 50SW 80NW. 34 KT...180NE 170SE 100SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 25.3N 50.2W MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT. 50 KT...110NE 100SE 60SW 90NW. 34 KT...190NE 180SE 110SW 160NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 30.8N 50.1W MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT. 50 KT...130NE 110SE 70SW 100NW. 34 KT...210NE 210SE 140SW 170NW. OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 37.4N 44.8W MAX WIND 85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT. 50 KT...130NE 120SE 100SW 90NW. 34 KT...240NE 270SE 200SW 180NW. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.5N 42.1W NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z $$ FORECASTER HAGEN
Category: Transportation and Logistics
Tropical Depression Eleven-E Forecast Advisory Number 3
2024-10-02 10:43:49| National Hurricane Center (East Pacific)
Issued at 0900 UTC WED OCT 02 2024 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 020843 TCMEP1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP112024 0900 UTC WED OCT 02 2024 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 95.8W AT 02/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT 5 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 95.8W AT 02/0900Z AT 02/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 95.5W FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 15.5N 96.0W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 30SE 0SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 15.6N 96.4W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 40SE 30SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 15.7N 97.0W MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT... 30NE 40SE 30SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 16.1N 97.5W...INLAND MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.4N 95.8W INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPEP1...AT 02/1200Z NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/1500Z $$ FORECASTER PASCH
Category: Transportation and Logistics